Northwest Pipe Stock Price Prediction
| NWPX Stock | USD 48.10 0.14 0.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.759 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.72 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.3167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4867 | Wall Street Target Price 56.3333 |
Using Northwest Pipe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northwest Pipe from the perspective of Northwest Pipe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northwest Pipe using Northwest Pipe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northwest Pipe's stock price.
Northwest Pipe Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Northwest Pipe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northwest Pipe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northwest Pipe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northwest Pipe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northwest Pipe's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northwest Pipe to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northwest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Northwest Pipe after-hype prediction price | USD 48.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Northwest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Northwest Pipe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Northwest Pipe trading at USD 48.1, that is roughly USD 0.0244 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Northwest Pipe's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Northwest Pipe options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Northwest |
Northwest Pipe After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northwest Pipe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northwest Pipe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northwest Pipe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northwest Pipe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northwest Pipe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northwest Pipe's historical news coverage. Northwest Pipe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.63 and 50.47, respectively. We have considered Northwest Pipe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northwest Pipe is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northwest Pipe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northwest Pipe Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northwest Pipe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Pipe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northwest Pipe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.24 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
48.10 | 48.05 | 0.10 |
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Northwest Pipe Hype Timeline
Northwest Pipe is now traded for 48.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Northwest is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Northwest Pipe is about 282.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.12. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.32. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northwest Pipe has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Northwest Pipe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Northwest Pipe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northwest Pipe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northwest Pipe's future price movements. Getting to know how Northwest Pipe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northwest Pipe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | (0.76) | 8 per month | 1.71 | (0.01) | 3.46 | (2.89) | 11.82 | |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | 9.69 | 11 per month | 2.24 | 0.14 | 4.47 | (4.23) | 15.87 | |
| ESAB | ESAB Corp | (0.74) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.03 | 3.42 | (2.35) | 17.01 | |
| GIFI | Gulf Island Fabrication | (0.40) | 7 per month | 1.82 | 0.13 | 4.95 | (4.11) | 21.05 | |
| HAYN | Haynes International | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.24 | (0.16) | 0.64 | (0.43) | 1.98 | |
| MEC | Mayville Engineering Co | (0.37) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.11 | (3.51) | 24.61 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | (0.41) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.04 | 4.47 | (3.84) | 21.65 | |
| TG | Tredegar | 0.13 | 8 per month | 4.29 | 0 | 3.37 | (4.23) | 28.19 | |
| CMPO | CompoSecure | (0.17) | 10 per month | 2.78 | (0.01) | 3.53 | (4.05) | 13.25 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | 1.18 | 7 per month | 2.01 | (0.04) | 2.09 | (2.62) | 18.66 |
Northwest Pipe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Northwest Pipe Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Northwest Pipe stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northwest Pipe, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northwest Pipe based on analysis of Northwest Pipe hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northwest Pipe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northwest Pipe's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 154.19 | 124.32 | 94.46 | PTB Ratio | 1.05 | 1.02 | 1.14 |
Story Coverage note for Northwest Pipe
The number of cover stories for Northwest Pipe depends on current market conditions and Northwest Pipe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northwest Pipe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northwest Pipe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Northwest Pipe Short Properties
Northwest Pipe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northwest Pipe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northwest Pipe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northwest Pipe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northwest Pipe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Additional Tools for Northwest Stock Analysis
When running Northwest Pipe's price analysis, check to measure Northwest Pipe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Pipe is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Pipe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Pipe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Pipe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Pipe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.