Northwest Pipe Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NWPX Stock | USD 74.67 0.52 0.70% |
Northwest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Northwest Pipe's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.353 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7667 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2933 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8367 | Wall Street Target Price 69.3333 |
Using Northwest Pipe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northwest Pipe from the perspective of Northwest Pipe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northwest Pipe using Northwest Pipe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northwest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northwest Pipe's stock price.
Northwest Pipe Short Interest
An investor who is long Northwest Pipe may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Northwest Pipe and may potentially protect profits, hedge Northwest Pipe with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 51.8772 | Short Percent 0.0189 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 137.8 K | 50 Day MA 65.166 |
Northwest Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.62.Northwest Pipe Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Northwest Pipe's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Northwest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Northwest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Northwest Pipe. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Northwest Pipe's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Northwest Pipe.
Northwest Pipe Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Northwest Pipe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northwest Pipe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northwest Pipe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northwest Pipe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northwest Pipe's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.62. Northwest Pipe after-hype prediction price | USD 73.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Northwest | Build AI portfolio with Northwest Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Northwest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Northwest Pipe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Northwest Pipe trading at USD 74.67, that is roughly USD 0.0373 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Northwest Pipe's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Northwest Pipe options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Northwest Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Northwest Pipe's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Northwest Pipe's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Northwest Pipe stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Northwest Pipe's open interest, investors have to compare it to Northwest Pipe's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Northwest Pipe is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Northwest. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Northwest Pipe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Northwest Pipe Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Northwest Pipe on the next trading day is expected to be 74.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northwest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northwest Pipe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northwest Pipe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Northwest Pipe | Northwest Pipe Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Northwest Pipe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northwest Pipe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northwest Pipe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.04 and 76.30, respectively. We have considered Northwest Pipe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northwest Pipe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northwest Pipe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4674 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.308 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.827 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.62 |
Predictive Modules for Northwest Pipe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northwest Pipe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northwest Pipe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northwest Pipe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northwest Pipe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northwest Pipe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northwest Pipe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northwest Pipe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northwest Pipe's historical news coverage. Northwest Pipe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.01 and 75.31, respectively. We have considered Northwest Pipe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northwest Pipe is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northwest Pipe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northwest Pipe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northwest Pipe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Pipe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northwest Pipe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 1.63 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
74.67 | 73.66 | 0.66 |
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Northwest Pipe Hype Timeline
Northwest Pipe is now traded for 74.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Northwest is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 73.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 158.25%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.66%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Northwest Pipe is about 40750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.67. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northwest Pipe has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northwest Pipe to cross-verify your projections.Northwest Pipe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northwest Pipe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northwest Pipe's future price movements. Getting to know how Northwest Pipe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northwest Pipe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IIIN | Insteel Industries | 0.70 | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.09 | 2.98 | (3.32) | 9.58 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | 0.52 | 9 per month | 2.12 | 0.17 | 4.87 | (3.56) | 11.34 | |
| HY | Hyster Yale Materials Handling | (1.42) | 10 per month | 2.64 | 0.05 | 5.10 | (4.77) | 20.43 | |
| FIP | FTAI Infrastructure | 0.32 | 10 per month | 3.64 | 0.06 | 7.93 | (6.73) | 18.25 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.24 | 6.32 | (3.08) | 16.31 | |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.80 | (6.38) | 18.76 | |
| HTLD | Heartland Express | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.52 | 0.21 | 5.90 | (2.63) | 10.25 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.85 | 0.27 | 6.18 | (2.84) | 14.57 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.87 | 0.01 | 5.22 | (4.65) | 18.67 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.24 | 11 per month | 5.37 | 0.02 | 9.07 | (6.76) | 35.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northwest Pipe
For every potential investor in Northwest, whether a beginner or expert, Northwest Pipe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northwest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northwest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northwest Pipe's price trends.Northwest Pipe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northwest Pipe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northwest Pipe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northwest Pipe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northwest Pipe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northwest Pipe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northwest Pipe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northwest Pipe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northwest Pipe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2585.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1919 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 73.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 74.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.52 |
Northwest Pipe Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northwest Pipe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northwest Pipe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northwest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Northwest Pipe
The number of cover stories for Northwest Pipe depends on current market conditions and Northwest Pipe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northwest Pipe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northwest Pipe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Northwest Pipe Short Properties
Northwest Pipe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northwest Pipe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northwest Pipe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northwest Pipe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northwest Pipe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Additional Tools for Northwest Stock Analysis
When running Northwest Pipe's price analysis, check to measure Northwest Pipe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Pipe is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Pipe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Pipe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Pipe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Pipe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.