NexGen Energy Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

NXE Stock  USD 11.62  0.08  0.69%   
NexGen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NexGen Energy stock prices and determine the direction of NexGen Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NexGen Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of NexGen Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NexGen Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NexGen Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NexGen Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NexGen Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NexGen Energy's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
5.31
Using NexGen Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NexGen Energy from the perspective of NexGen Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NexGen Energy using NexGen Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NexGen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NexGen Energy's stock price.

NexGen Energy Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in NexGen Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NexGen. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of NexGen Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
8.2345
Short Percent
0.0209
Short Ratio
9.13
Shares Short Prior Month
76.4 M
50 Day MA
10.7144

NexGen Relative Strength Index

NexGen Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to NexGen Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NexGen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NexGen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NexGen Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NexGen Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NexGen Energy.

NexGen Energy Implied Volatility

    
  1.01  
NexGen Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NexGen Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NexGen Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NexGen Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when NexGen Energy's options are near their expiration.

NexGen Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NexGen Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade NexGen Stock refer to our How to Trade NexGen Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NexGen contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NexGen Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With NexGen Energy trading at USD 11.62, that is roughly USD 0.007335 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NexGen Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NexGen Energy options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 NexGen Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NexGen Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NexGen Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NexGen Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NexGen Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to NexGen Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NexGen Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NexGen. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

NexGen Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NexGen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NexGen using various technical indicators. When you analyze NexGen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
NexGen Energy has current Accumulation Distribution of 0.0555. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which NexGen Energy is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of NexGen Energy to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by NexGen Energy trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check NexGen Energy VolatilityBacktest NexGen EnergyInformation Ratio  

NexGen Energy Trading Date Momentum

On February 16 2026 NexGen Energy was traded for  11.62  at the closing time. Highest NexGen Energy's price during the trading hours was 11.89  and the lowest price during the day was  11.23 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 16th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.69% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare NexGen Energy to competition

Other Forecasting Options for NexGen Energy

For every potential investor in NexGen, whether a beginner or expert, NexGen Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NexGen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NexGen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NexGen Energy's price trends.

NexGen Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NexGen Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NexGen Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NexGen Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NexGen Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NexGen Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NexGen Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NexGen Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NexGen Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NexGen Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of NexGen Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NexGen Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexgen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NexGen Energy

The number of cover stories for NexGen Energy depends on current market conditions and NexGen Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NexGen Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NexGen Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

NexGen Energy Short Properties

NexGen Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when NexGen Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NexGen Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NexGen Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NexGen Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding554.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments476.6 M
When determining whether NexGen Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze NexGen Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NexGen Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NexGen Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NexGen Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade NexGen Stock refer to our How to Trade NexGen Stock guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could NexGen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NexGen Energy. Anticipated expansion of NexGen directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every NexGen Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.43)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.31)
The market value of NexGen Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NexGen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NexGen Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NexGen Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because NexGen Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NexGen Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NexGen Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NexGen Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, NexGen Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.