New York Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NYT Stock  USD 49.20  0.03  0.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of New York Times on the next trading day is expected to be 46.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.71. New Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, New York's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 4.17 in 2025, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 6.04 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 130.7 M in 2025. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 115.3 M in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 New Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast New York's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in New York's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for New York stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current New York's open interest, investors have to compare it to New York's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of New York is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in New. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the New York's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-12-31
Previous Quarter
222.9 M
Current Value
204.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
121.3 M
 
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Covid
A naive forecasting model for New York is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of New York Times value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

New York Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of New York Times on the next trading day is expected to be 46.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New York's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

New York Stock Forecast Pattern

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New York Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting New York's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New York's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.05 and 48.93, respectively. We have considered New York's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.20
46.99
Expected Value
48.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New York stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New York stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6653
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6405
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.012
SAESum of the absolute errors39.7129
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of New York Times. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict New York. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for New York

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New York Times. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New York's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.2549.2051.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.1151.0653.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.4152.6355.84
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.7858.0064.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for New York

For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New York's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New York's price trends.

New York Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New York stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New York could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New York by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

New York Times Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of New York's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of New York's current price.

New York Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New York stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New York shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New York stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New York Times entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

New York Risk Indicators

The analysis of New York's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New York's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis

When running New York's price analysis, check to measure New York's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New York is operating at the current time. Most of New York's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New York's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New York's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New York to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.