Omega Flex Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| OFLX Stock | USD 31.55 2.35 6.93% |
Omega Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Omega Flex's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Omega Flex, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Omega Flex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Omega Flex from the perspective of Omega Flex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Omega Flex on the next trading day is expected to be 32.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.50. Omega Flex after-hype prediction price | USD 31.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omega Flex to cross-verify your projections. Omega Flex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Omega price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Omega using various technical indicators. When you analyze Omega charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Omega Flex Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Omega Flex on the next trading day is expected to be 32.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 58.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Omega Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Omega Flex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Omega Flex Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Omega Flex | Omega Flex Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Omega Flex Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Omega Flex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Omega Flex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.41 and 35.23, respectively. We have considered Omega Flex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Omega Flex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Omega Flex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2825 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.959 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0332 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 58.5014 |
Predictive Modules for Omega Flex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omega Flex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Omega Flex After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Omega Flex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Omega Flex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Omega Flex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Omega Flex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Omega Flex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Omega Flex's historical news coverage. Omega Flex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.16 and 33.94, respectively. We have considered Omega Flex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Omega Flex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Omega Flex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Omega Flex Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Omega Flex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Omega Flex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Omega Flex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.41 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 36 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 36 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.55 | 31.55 | 0.00 |
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Omega Flex Hype Timeline
Omega Flex is now traded for 31.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Omega is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Omega Flex is about 2707.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.53. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Omega Flex was now reported as 8.34. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 36 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omega Flex to cross-verify your projections.Omega Flex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Omega Flex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Omega Flex's future price movements. Getting to know how Omega Flex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Omega Flex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKOH | Park Ohio Holdings | 0.29 | 9 per month | 2.48 | 0.03 | 4.77 | (3.60) | 14.74 | |
| NPWR | NET Power | (0.07) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.95 | (7.50) | 30.06 | |
| CIX | CompX International | (1.67) | 8 per month | 2.15 | (0) | 3.07 | (4.00) | 19.01 | |
| LXFR | Luxfer Holdings PLC | (0.16) | 6 per month | 1.66 | 0.05 | 2.77 | (2.67) | 6.05 | |
| RLGT | Radiant Logistics | 0.17 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.04 | 3.34 | (3.07) | 8.55 | |
| QUAD | Quad Graphics | 0.14 | 7 per month | 3.20 | 0 | 3.33 | (4.72) | 14.57 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | (0.23) | 13 per month | 1.56 | 0.03 | 3.75 | (2.79) | 11.26 | |
| SHMD | SCHMID Group NV | 0.09 | 27 per month | 6.62 | 0.19 | 16.73 | (10.85) | 40.89 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.09) | 7 per month | 2.46 | 0.03 | 5.51 | (4.82) | 20.34 | |
| TWIN | Twin Disc Incorporated | 0.64 | 3 per month | 2.31 | 0.03 | 4.46 | (3.42) | 13.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Omega Flex
For every potential investor in Omega, whether a beginner or expert, Omega Flex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Omega Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Omega. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Omega Flex's price trends.Omega Flex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Omega Flex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Omega Flex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Omega Flex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Omega Flex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Omega Flex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Omega Flex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Omega Flex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Omega Flex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.35) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.38 |
Omega Flex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Omega Flex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omega Flex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omega stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Omega Flex
The number of cover stories for Omega Flex depends on current market conditions and Omega Flex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Omega Flex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Omega Flex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Omega Flex Short Properties
Omega Flex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Omega Flex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Omega Flex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Omega Flex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omega Flex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.7 M |
Additional Tools for Omega Stock Analysis
When running Omega Flex's price analysis, check to measure Omega Flex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Omega Flex is operating at the current time. Most of Omega Flex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Omega Flex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Omega Flex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Omega Flex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.