Compx International Stock Price Prediction
| CIX Stock | USD 27.55 0.09 0.33% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Wall Street Target Price 38 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Using CompX International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CompX International from the perspective of CompX International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CompX International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CompX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CompX International after-hype prediction price | USD 27.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CompX |
CompX International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CompX International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CompX International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CompX International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CompX International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CompX International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CompX International's historical news coverage. CompX International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.44 and 31.44, respectively. We have considered CompX International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CompX International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CompX International is based on 3 months time horizon.
CompX International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CompX International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CompX International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CompX International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 4.00 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.55 | 27.44 | 0.72 |
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CompX International Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November CompX International is traded for 27.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. CompX is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 119.05%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.72%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on CompX International is about 754.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.52. About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of CompX International was currently reported as 11.8. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out CompX International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CompX International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CompX International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CompX International's future price movements. Getting to know how CompX International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CompX International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.62 | 4 per month | 0.95 | 0.05 | 3.51 | (1.98) | 12.34 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.03 | 3.28 | (3.31) | 9.31 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (1.95) | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.11 | 2.96 | (2.48) | 11.02 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | (1.62) | 3 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 2.43 | (2.44) | 8.03 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | 1.24 | 9 per month | 1.53 | (0.04) | 2.90 | (2.30) | 8.32 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.07 | (6.69) | 22.57 | |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings | 0.81 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.06 | (4.24) | 13.54 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | (1.01) | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.02 | 2.83 | (3.14) | 29.10 | |
| HXL | Hexcel | (1.53) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.00 | (2.66) | 6.19 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | (2.48) | 9 per month | 2.91 | 0.02 | 3.85 | (3.74) | 20.17 |
CompX International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CompX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CompX using various technical indicators. When you analyze CompX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CompX International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CompX International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CompX International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CompX International based on analysis of CompX International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CompX International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CompX International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0356 | 0.15 | 0.0396 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.98 | 1.37 | 1.93 |
Story Coverage note for CompX International
The number of cover stories for CompX International depends on current market conditions and CompX International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CompX International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CompX International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CompX International Short Properties
CompX International's future price predictability will typically decrease when CompX International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CompX International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CompX International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CompX International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76.7 M |
Additional Tools for CompX Stock Analysis
When running CompX International's price analysis, check to measure CompX International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CompX International is operating at the current time. Most of CompX International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CompX International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CompX International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CompX International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.