Oceaneering International Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OII Stock | USD 29.17 0.73 2.57% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oceaneering International on the next trading day is expected to be 29.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.44. Oceaneering Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oceaneering International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Oceaneering International's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.775 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3703 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8977 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7871 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5 |
Using Oceaneering International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oceaneering International from the perspective of Oceaneering International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oceaneering International using Oceaneering International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oceaneering using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oceaneering International's stock price.
Oceaneering International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Oceaneering International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Oceaneering. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Oceaneering International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.4582 | Short Percent 0.0571 | Short Ratio 4.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 25.1758 |
Oceaneering International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Oceaneering International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oceaneering. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oceaneering can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oceaneering International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Oceaneering International Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Oceaneering International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oceaneering International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oceaneering International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oceaneering International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oceaneering International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oceaneering International on the next trading day is expected to be 29.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.44. Oceaneering International after-hype prediction price | USD 29.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Oceaneering contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Oceaneering International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Oceaneering International trading at USD 29.17, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Oceaneering International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Oceaneering International options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Oceaneering Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Oceaneering International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Oceaneering International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Oceaneering International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Oceaneering International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Oceaneering International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Oceaneering International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Oceaneering. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Oceaneering International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oceaneering price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oceaneering using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oceaneering charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oceaneering International Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Oceaneering International's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-03-31 | Previous Quarter 434 M | Current Value 506 M | Quarterly Volatility 177.2 M |
Oceaneering International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oceaneering International on the next trading day is expected to be 29.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.44.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oceaneering Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oceaneering International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oceaneering International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oceaneering International | Oceaneering International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Oceaneering International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oceaneering International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oceaneering International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.08 and 32.18, respectively. We have considered Oceaneering International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oceaneering International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oceaneering International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8354 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7121 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0283 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.4356 |
Predictive Modules for Oceaneering International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oceaneering International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oceaneering International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oceaneering International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oceaneering International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oceaneering International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oceaneering International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oceaneering International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oceaneering International's historical news coverage. Oceaneering International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.95 and 32.03, respectively. We have considered Oceaneering International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oceaneering International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oceaneering International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oceaneering International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oceaneering International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oceaneering International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oceaneering International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.55 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.17 | 29.49 | 1.48 |
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Oceaneering International Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Oceaneering International is traded for 29.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Oceaneering is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.48%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Oceaneering International is about 31875.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.17. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.66 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 147.47 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 578.11 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oceaneering International to cross-verify your projections.Oceaneering International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oceaneering International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oceaneering International's future price movements. Getting to know how Oceaneering International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oceaneering International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TDW | Tidewater | 1.47 | 9 per month | 2.54 | 0.08 | 6.86 | (5.04) | 15.89 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.84) | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 12.86 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.20) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.06 | 2.18 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 5.89 | (4.64) | 17.67 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.05 | 2.98 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | 1.23 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.60 | (3.81) | 12.71 | |
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | (0.35) | 12 per month | 1.50 | 0.04 | 3.05 | (2.58) | 10.46 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (1.02) | 10 per month | 3.08 | 0.14 | 5.41 | (6.06) | 18.46 | |
| BSM | Black Stone Minerals | (0.19) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.13 | 2.11 | (1.77) | 6.75 | |
| CIVI | Civitas Resources | (0.09) | 8 per month | 2.37 | (0.03) | 3.75 | (4.19) | 11.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oceaneering International
For every potential investor in Oceaneering, whether a beginner or expert, Oceaneering International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oceaneering Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oceaneering. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oceaneering International's price trends.Oceaneering International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oceaneering International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oceaneering International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oceaneering International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oceaneering International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oceaneering International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oceaneering International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oceaneering International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oceaneering International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Oceaneering International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oceaneering International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oceaneering International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oceaneering stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oceaneering International
The number of cover stories for Oceaneering International depends on current market conditions and Oceaneering International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oceaneering International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oceaneering International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oceaneering International Short Properties
Oceaneering International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oceaneering International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oceaneering International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oceaneering International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oceaneering International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 504.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oceaneering International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Oceaneering Stock please use our How to Invest in Oceaneering International guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oceaneering International. If investors know Oceaneering will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oceaneering International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.775 | Earnings Share 2.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Oceaneering International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oceaneering that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oceaneering International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oceaneering International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oceaneering International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oceaneering International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oceaneering International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oceaneering International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oceaneering International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.