Universal Display Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| OLED Stock | USD 120.10 1.41 1.19% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Universal Display on the next trading day is expected to be 115.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.73. Universal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Universal Display stock prices and determine the direction of Universal Display's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Universal Display's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Universal Display's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2885 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.9431 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5374 | Wall Street Target Price 165.8889 |
Using Universal Display hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Universal Display from the perspective of Universal Display response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Universal Display using Universal Display's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Universal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Universal Display's stock price.
Universal Display Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Universal Display's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Universal. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Universal Display stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 137.4081 | Short Percent 0.0476 | Short Ratio 3.45 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 118.9814 |
Universal Display Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Universal Display's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Universal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Universal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Universal Display. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Universal Display Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Universal Display's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Universal Display stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Universal Display's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Universal Display stock will not fluctuate a lot when Universal Display's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Universal Display on the next trading day is expected to be 115.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.73. Universal Display after-hype prediction price | USD 119.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Universal | Build AI portfolio with Universal Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Universal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Universal Display will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Universal Display trading at USD 120.1, that is roughly USD 0.0398 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Universal Display's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Universal Display options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Universal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Universal Display's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Universal Display's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Universal Display stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Universal Display's open interest, investors have to compare it to Universal Display's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Universal Display is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Universal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Universal Display Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Universal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Universal Display Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Universal Display on the next trading day is expected to be 115.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60, mean absolute percentage error of 74.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Universal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Universal Display's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Universal Display Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Universal Display | Universal Display Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Universal Display Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Universal Display's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Universal Display's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.02 and 117.49, respectively. We have considered Universal Display's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Universal Display stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Universal Display stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.4197 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.6021 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0528 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 402.7255 |
Predictive Modules for Universal Display
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Display. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Display's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Universal Display After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Universal Display at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Universal Display or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Universal Display, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Universal Display Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Universal Display's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Universal Display's historical news coverage. Universal Display's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.20 and 121.66, respectively. We have considered Universal Display's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Universal Display is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Universal Display is based on 3 months time horizon.
Universal Display Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Universal Display is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Display backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Universal Display, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.23 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
120.10 | 119.43 | 0.56 |
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Universal Display Hype Timeline
Universal Display is now traded for 120.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Universal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 119.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 113.78%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Universal Display is about 6690.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 120.09. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Universal Display was now reported as 36.7. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.23. Universal Display last dividend was issued on the 17th of December 2025. The entity had 91:1000 split on the 11th of April 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Display to cross-verify your projections.Universal Display Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Universal Display's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Universal Display's future price movements. Getting to know how Universal Display's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Universal Display may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCI | FTC Solar | 0.03 | 19 per month | 4.83 | 0.07 | 9.96 | (7.79) | 58.89 | |
| SPWR | Complete Solaria | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.92 | 0.06 | 8.28 | (6.98) | 22.96 | |
| BOOM | Dmc Global | 0.03 | 20 per month | 4.11 | 0.05 | 6.37 | (4.12) | 25.41 | |
| ANNA | AleAnna Class A | (0.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.00 | (6.94) | 20.01 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.00 | 9 per month | 3.33 | 0.13 | 6.71 | (3.99) | 23.83 | |
| OMSE | OMS Energy Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.41 | (6.97) | 24.27 | |
| IMPP | Imperial Petroleum | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.56 | (6.67) | 33.83 | |
| AMTX | Aemetis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.84 | (6.75) | 27.65 | |
| ZEO | Zeo Energy Corp | (0.06) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.56 | (8.72) | 24.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Universal Display
For every potential investor in Universal, whether a beginner or expert, Universal Display's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Universal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Universal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Universal Display's price trends.Universal Display Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Universal Display stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Universal Display could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Display by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Universal Display Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Universal Display stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Universal Display shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Universal Display stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Universal Display entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Universal Display Risk Indicators
The analysis of Universal Display's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Display's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting universal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Universal Display
The number of cover stories for Universal Display depends on current market conditions and Universal Display's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Universal Display is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Universal Display's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Universal Display Short Properties
Universal Display's future price predictability will typically decrease when Universal Display's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Universal Display often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Universal Display's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Display's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 492.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Display to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Universal Stock refer to our How to Trade Universal Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Display. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Display listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 1.75 | Earnings Share 4.64 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Universal Display is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Display's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Display's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Display's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Display's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Display's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Display is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Display's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.