BeiGene Stock Forward View
| ONC Stock | 350.00 13.84 4.12% |
BeiGene Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast BeiGene stock prices and determine the direction of BeiGene's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of BeiGene's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The RSI of BeiGene's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BeiGene, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0809 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4126 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3413 | Wall Street Target Price 404.1921 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.8583 |
Using BeiGene hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BeiGene from the perspective of BeiGene response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BeiGene using BeiGene's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BeiGene using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BeiGene's stock price.
BeiGene Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BeiGene's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BeiGene. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BeiGene stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 297.9148 | Short Percent 0.0174 | Short Ratio 4.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 330.6635 |
BeiGene Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeiGene on the next trading day is expected to be 343.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 385.67.BeiGene Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BeiGene's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BeiGene. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BeiGene can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BeiGene. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BeiGene's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BeiGene.
BeiGene Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
BeiGene's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BeiGene stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BeiGene's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BeiGene stock will not fluctuate a lot when BeiGene's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeiGene on the next trading day is expected to be 343.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 385.67. BeiGene after-hype prediction price | USD 350.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BeiGene to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BeiGene contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BeiGene will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With BeiGene trading at USD 350.0, that is roughly USD 0.0941 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BeiGene's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BeiGene options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 BeiGene Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BeiGene's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BeiGene's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BeiGene stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BeiGene's open interest, investors have to compare it to BeiGene's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BeiGene is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BeiGene. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
BeiGene Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BeiGene price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BeiGene using various technical indicators. When you analyze BeiGene charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BeiGene Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the BeiGene's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-12-31 | Previous Quarter 2.8 B | Current Value 4 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.5 B |
BeiGene Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeiGene on the next trading day is expected to be 343.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.32, mean absolute percentage error of 68.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 385.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BeiGene Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BeiGene's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BeiGene Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BeiGene | BeiGene Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
BeiGene Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BeiGene's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BeiGene's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 341.09 and 346.39, respectively. We have considered BeiGene's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BeiGene stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BeiGene stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.3442 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.3225 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0189 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 385.6709 |
Predictive Modules for BeiGene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BeiGene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BeiGene After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BeiGene at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BeiGene or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BeiGene, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BeiGene Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BeiGene's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BeiGene's historical news coverage. BeiGene's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 347.38 and 352.62, respectively. We have considered BeiGene's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BeiGene is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BeiGene is based on 3 months time horizon.
BeiGene Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BeiGene is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BeiGene backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BeiGene, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.65 | 0.60 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
350.00 | 350.00 | 0.00 |
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BeiGene Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January BeiGene is traded for 350.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. BeiGene is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 101.53%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on BeiGene is about 695.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 350.09. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BeiGene to cross-verify your projections.BeiGene Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BeiGene's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BeiGene's future price movements. Getting to know how BeiGene's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BeiGene may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUM | Humana Inc | 0.50 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.79 | (6.01) | 27.31 | |
| INSM | Insmed Inc | (9.03) | 10 per month | 3.65 | (0.01) | 3.35 | (4.15) | 32.41 | |
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | 5.26 | 4 per month | 1.84 | (0.02) | 2.88 | (3.08) | 7.77 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 4.42 | 8 per month | 1.31 | (0.05) | 2.11 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | (2.22) | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (1.68) | 6.05 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | (0.35) | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 3.24 | (1.68) | 6.78 | |
| MTD | Mettler Toledo International | 5.56 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.66 | (2.37) | 7.69 | |
| NTRA | Natera Inc | 0.1 | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.13 | 3.54 | (2.21) | 10.60 | |
| PHG | Koninklijke Philips NV | 0.24 | 9 per month | 1.97 | (0.02) | 2.53 | (2.41) | 8.74 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | (0.67) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for BeiGene
For every potential investor in BeiGene, whether a beginner or expert, BeiGene's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BeiGene Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BeiGene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BeiGene's price trends.BeiGene Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BeiGene stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BeiGene could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BeiGene by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BeiGene Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BeiGene stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BeiGene shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BeiGene stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BeiGene entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BeiGene Risk Indicators
The analysis of BeiGene's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BeiGene's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting beigene stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Variance | 6.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BeiGene
The number of cover stories for BeiGene depends on current market conditions and BeiGene's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BeiGene is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BeiGene's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
BeiGene Short Properties
BeiGene's future price predictability will typically decrease when BeiGene's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BeiGene often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BeiGene's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BeiGene's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BeiGene to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade BeiGene Stock refer to our How to Trade BeiGene Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could BeiGene diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BeiGene. Anticipated expansion of BeiGene directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every BeiGene data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share 0.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.41 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding BeiGene requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BeiGene's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what BeiGene's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BeiGene's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BeiGene's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BeiGene should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BeiGene's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.