On Holding Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ONON Stock | USD 42.92 0.95 2.17% |
ONON Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although On Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of On Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of On Holding fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of On Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.831 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.217 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7539 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3485 | Wall Street Target Price 62.2791 |
Using On Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of On Holding from the perspective of On Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards On Holding using On Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ONON using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of On Holding's stock price.
On Holding Short Interest
An investor who is long On Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about On Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge On Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 47.425 | Short Percent 0.0941 | Short Ratio 4.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.4 M | 50 Day MA 46.4614 |
ONON Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of On Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 48.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.87.On Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to On Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ONON. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ONON can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around On Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of On Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about On Holding.
On Holding Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
On Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of On Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if On Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that On Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when On Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of On Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 48.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.87. On Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 43.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of On Holding to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ONON contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that On Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With On Holding trading at USD 42.92, that is roughly USD 0.0158 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating On Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring On Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ONON Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast On Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in On Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for On Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current On Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to On Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of On Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ONON. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
On Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ONON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ONON using various technical indicators. When you analyze ONON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
On Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of On Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 48.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.47, mean absolute percentage error of 9.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ONON Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that On Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
On Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest On Holding | On Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
On Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting On Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. On Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.80 and 51.20, respectively. We have considered On Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of On Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent On Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1496 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4656 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.056 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 152.8686 |
Predictive Modules for On Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as On Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.On Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of On Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in On Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of On Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
On Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting On Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on On Holding's historical news coverage. On Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.93 and 46.33, respectively. We have considered On Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
On Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of On Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
On Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as On Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading On Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with On Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 3.20 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.92 | 43.13 | 0.49 |
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On Holding Hype Timeline
On Holding is now traded for 42.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. ONON is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 43.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on On Holding is about 1777.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.85. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.32 B. Net Income was 242.3 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of On Holding to cross-verify your projections.On Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to On Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict On Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how On Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how On Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor | (1.18) | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.15 | 4.19 | (2.59) | 22.05 | |
| SN | SharkNinja | (0.77) | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.17 | 5.64 | (2.96) | 10.24 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | 1.80 | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.18 | 3.35 | (2.83) | 11.94 | |
| CHWY | Chewy Inc | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.17 | (4.00) | 10.24 | |
| SCI | Service International | 1.74 | 8 per month | 0.92 | (0.03) | 1.77 | (1.61) | 4.27 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | (1.68) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.14 | 2.96 | (2.36) | 6.71 | |
| GAP | The Gap | (0.83) | 10 per month | 1.59 | 0.12 | 6.37 | (2.84) | 12.19 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | (0.61) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.26 | 3.45 | (1.76) | 7.45 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | 0.59 | 6 per month | 1.84 | 0.06 | 4.44 | (3.42) | 13.39 | |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Limited | (0.29) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.18 | (3.45) | 10.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for On Holding
For every potential investor in ONON, whether a beginner or expert, On Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ONON Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ONON. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying On Holding's price trends.On Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with On Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of On Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing On Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
On Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how On Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading On Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying On Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify On Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 179879.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 43.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 43.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.69) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.95) |
On Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of On Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in On Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Variance | 9.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for On Holding
The number of cover stories for On Holding depends on current market conditions and On Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that On Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about On Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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On Holding Short Properties
On Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when On Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of On Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential On Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. On Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 338.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 968 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of On Holding to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in ONON Stock, please use our How to Invest in On Holding guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector continue expanding? Could ONON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of On Holding. Anticipated expansion of ONON directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every On Holding data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.831 | Earnings Share 0.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.249 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate On Holding using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating On Holding's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause On Holding's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between On Holding's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding On Holding should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, On Holding's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.