Osisko Gold Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OR Stock | USD 45.31 2.01 4.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 46.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.21. Osisko Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Osisko Gold's share price is above 70 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Osisko, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Osisko Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Osisko Gold Ro from the perspective of Osisko Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 46.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.21. Osisko Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 45.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osisko Gold to cross-verify your projections. Osisko Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Osisko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Osisko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Osisko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Osisko Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 46.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osisko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osisko Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Osisko Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Osisko Gold | Osisko Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Osisko Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Osisko Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osisko Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.47 and 49.02, respectively. We have considered Osisko Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osisko Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osisko Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5073 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6101 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0173 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.2149 |
Predictive Modules for Osisko Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osisko Gold Ro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Osisko Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Osisko Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Osisko Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Osisko Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Osisko Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Osisko Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Osisko Gold's historical news coverage. Osisko Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.03 and 47.59, respectively. We have considered Osisko Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Osisko Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Osisko Gold Ro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Osisko Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Osisko Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Osisko Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Osisko Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.31 | 45.31 | 0.00 |
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Osisko Gold Hype Timeline
As of January 22, 2026 Osisko Gold Ro is listed for 45.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.13. Osisko is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Osisko Gold is about 897.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.18. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 155.56. Osisko Gold Ro last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osisko Gold to cross-verify your projections.Osisko Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Osisko Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Osisko Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Osisko Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Osisko Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGD | New Gold | 0.03 | 12 per month | 3.01 | 0.22 | 7.41 | (4.72) | 19.38 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.48 | (5.74) | 14.92 | |
| HL | Hecla Mining | (1.45) | 9 per month | 3.22 | 0.26 | 8.95 | (6.19) | 18.49 | |
| TFPM | Triple Flag Precious | (0.86) | 10 per month | 2.50 | 0.11 | 4.21 | (3.48) | 12.83 | |
| IAG | IAMGold | 0.15 | 3 per month | 2.99 | 0.15 | 5.49 | (4.94) | 18.37 | |
| EGO | Eldorado Gold Corp | (0.58) | 10 per month | 2.25 | 0.23 | 5.65 | (3.61) | 12.43 | |
| SSRM | SSR Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.12 | 0.05 | 4.97 | (5.32) | 12.78 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | (0.10) | 10 per month | 2.41 | (0.01) | 4.15 | (2.57) | 11.95 | |
| CMC | Commercial Metals | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.16 | 3.69 | (1.85) | 8.69 | |
| AXTA | Axalta Coating Systems | (0.03) | 12 per month | 1.18 | 0.11 | 2.69 | (2.56) | 7.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Osisko Gold
For every potential investor in Osisko, whether a beginner or expert, Osisko Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osisko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osisko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osisko Gold's price trends.Osisko Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osisko Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osisko Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osisko Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Osisko Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osisko Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osisko Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osisko Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Osisko Gold Ro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Osisko Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Osisko Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osisko Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osisko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.69 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Osisko Gold
The number of cover stories for Osisko Gold depends on current market conditions and Osisko Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Osisko Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Osisko Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Osisko Gold Short Properties
Osisko Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Osisko Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Osisko Gold Ro often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Osisko Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Osisko Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.1 M |
Additional Tools for Osisko Stock Analysis
When running Osisko Gold's price analysis, check to measure Osisko Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Osisko Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Osisko Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Osisko Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Osisko Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Osisko Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.