Osisko Gold Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

OR Stock  USD 45.31  2.01  4.64%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 45.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.41. Osisko Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Osisko Gold's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Osisko Gold's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Osisko Gold fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Osisko Gold's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Osisko Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Osisko Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Osisko Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Osisko Gold Ro, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Osisko Gold's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.285
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2762
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.862
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.2172
Wall Street Target Price
43.75
Using Osisko Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Osisko Gold Ro from the perspective of Osisko Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Osisko Gold using Osisko Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Osisko using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Osisko Gold's stock price.

Osisko Gold Short Interest

An investor who is long Osisko Gold may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Osisko Gold and may potentially protect profits, hedge Osisko Gold with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
30.8084
Short Percent
0.0189
Short Ratio
1.59
Shares Short Prior Month
2.5 M
50 Day MA
35.5076

Osisko Gold Ro Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Osisko Gold's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Osisko. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Osisko can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Osisko Gold Ro. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Osisko Gold Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Osisko Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Osisko Gold Ro stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Osisko Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Osisko Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Osisko Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 45.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.41.

Osisko Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 45.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osisko Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Osisko contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Osisko Gold Ro will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Osisko Gold trading at USD 45.31, that is roughly USD 0.0176 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Osisko Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Osisko Gold Ro options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Osisko Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Osisko Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Osisko Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Osisko Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Osisko Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Osisko Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Osisko Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Osisko. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Osisko Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Osisko price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Osisko using various technical indicators. When you analyze Osisko charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Osisko Gold is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Osisko Gold Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Osisko Gold Ro on the next trading day is expected to be 45.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osisko Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osisko Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Osisko Gold Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Osisko GoldOsisko Gold Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Osisko Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Osisko Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osisko Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 43.15 and 47.47, respectively. We have considered Osisko Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.31
45.31
Expected Value
47.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osisko Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osisko Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2369
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3454
MADMean absolute deviation0.7019
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0193
SAESum of the absolute errors41.41
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Osisko Gold Ro price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Osisko Gold. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Osisko Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osisko Gold Ro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.8645.0247.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.7540.9149.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.0237.4843.93
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.8143.7548.56
Details

Osisko Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Osisko Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Osisko Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Osisko Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Osisko Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Osisko Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Osisko Gold's historical news coverage. Osisko Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.86 and 47.18, respectively. We have considered Osisko Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
45.31
45.02
After-hype Price
47.18
Upside
Osisko Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Osisko Gold Ro is based on 3 months time horizon.

Osisko Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Osisko Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Osisko Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Osisko Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.61 
2.16
  0.29 
  0.24 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.31
45.02
0.64 
450.00  
Notes

Osisko Gold Hype Timeline

As of January 23, 2026 Osisko Gold Ro is listed for 45.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Osisko is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Osisko Gold is about 545.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.07. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 155.56. Osisko Gold Ro last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osisko Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Osisko Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Osisko Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Osisko Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Osisko Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Osisko Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NGDNew Gold 0.03 12 per month 3.01  0.22  7.41 (4.72) 19.38 
BTGB2Gold Corp(0.06)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.48 (5.74) 14.92 
HLHecla Mining(1.45)9 per month 3.22  0.26  8.95 (6.19) 18.49 
TFPMTriple Flag Precious(0.86)10 per month 2.50  0.11  4.21 (3.48) 12.83 
IAGIAMGold 0.29 11 per month 2.99  0.15  5.49 (4.94) 18.37 
EGOEldorado Gold Corp(0.58)10 per month 2.25  0.23  5.65 (3.61) 12.43 
SSRMSSR Mining(0.27)10 per month 3.50  0.03  4.97 (5.57) 13.05 
LPXLouisiana Pacific(0.10)10 per month 2.41 (0.01) 4.15 (2.57) 11.95 
CMCCommercial Metals(0.93)8 per month 1.23  0.19  3.71 (2.96) 9.61 
AXTAAxalta Coating Systems(0.03)12 per month 1.18  0.11  2.69 (2.56) 7.97 

Other Forecasting Options for Osisko Gold

For every potential investor in Osisko, whether a beginner or expert, Osisko Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osisko Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osisko. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osisko Gold's price trends.

Osisko Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osisko Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osisko Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osisko Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Osisko Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osisko Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osisko Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osisko Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Osisko Gold Ro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Osisko Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Osisko Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osisko Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osisko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Osisko Gold

The number of cover stories for Osisko Gold depends on current market conditions and Osisko Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Osisko Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Osisko Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Osisko Gold Short Properties

Osisko Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Osisko Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Osisko Gold Ro often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Osisko Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Osisko Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding187.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.1 M

Additional Tools for Osisko Stock Analysis

When running Osisko Gold's price analysis, check to measure Osisko Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Osisko Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Osisko Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Osisko Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Osisko Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Osisko Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.