Oshkosh Stock Forward View
| OSK Stock | USD 162.79 4.12 2.47% |
Oshkosh Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Oshkosh's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Oshkosh's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Oshkosh fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Oshkosh's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3769 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.318 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.3156 | Wall Street Target Price 161.0612 |
Using Oshkosh hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oshkosh from the perspective of Oshkosh response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oshkosh using Oshkosh's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oshkosh using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oshkosh's stock price.
Oshkosh Short Interest
An investor who is long Oshkosh may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Oshkosh and may potentially protect profits, hedge Oshkosh with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 124.532 | Short Percent 0.0766 | Short Ratio 4.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.1 M | 50 Day MA 136.5144 |
Oshkosh Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oshkosh on the next trading day is expected to be 157.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.52.Oshkosh Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Oshkosh's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oshkosh. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oshkosh can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oshkosh. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Oshkosh's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Oshkosh.
Oshkosh Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Oshkosh's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oshkosh stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oshkosh's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oshkosh stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oshkosh's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oshkosh on the next trading day is expected to be 157.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.52. Oshkosh after-hype prediction price | USD 160.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oshkosh to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Oshkosh contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Oshkosh will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Oshkosh trading at USD 162.79, that is roughly USD 0.0519 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Oshkosh's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Oshkosh options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Oshkosh Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Oshkosh's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Oshkosh's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Oshkosh stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Oshkosh's open interest, investors have to compare it to Oshkosh's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Oshkosh is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Oshkosh. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Oshkosh Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oshkosh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oshkosh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oshkosh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oshkosh Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Oshkosh's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 211.8 M | Current Value 479.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 273.8 M |
Oshkosh Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oshkosh on the next trading day is expected to be 157.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.71, mean absolute percentage error of 22.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oshkosh Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oshkosh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oshkosh Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oshkosh | Oshkosh Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Oshkosh Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oshkosh's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oshkosh's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 155.08 and 159.72, respectively. We have considered Oshkosh's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oshkosh stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oshkosh stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2064 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.7134 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0269 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 226.5166 |
Predictive Modules for Oshkosh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oshkosh. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oshkosh's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oshkosh After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oshkosh at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oshkosh or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oshkosh, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oshkosh Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oshkosh's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oshkosh's historical news coverage. Oshkosh's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 157.93 and 179.07, respectively. We have considered Oshkosh's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oshkosh is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oshkosh is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oshkosh Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oshkosh is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oshkosh backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oshkosh, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.32 | 2.54 | 0.46 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
162.79 | 160.25 | 1.56 |
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Oshkosh Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Oshkosh is traded for 162.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. Oshkosh is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 160.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 51.21%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.56%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Oshkosh is about 282.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.33. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Oshkosh was now reported as 71.59. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.02. Oshkosh last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 29th of August 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oshkosh to cross-verify your projections.Oshkosh Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oshkosh's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oshkosh's future price movements. Getting to know how Oshkosh's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oshkosh may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | (3.17) | 11 per month | 1.30 | 0.09 | 3.91 | (2.20) | 10.84 | |
| FLR | Fluor | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.41 | (3.81) | 9.28 | |
| IESC | IES Holdings | (8.88) | 9 per month | 4.87 | 0.02 | 5.82 | (5.13) | 28.38 | |
| PRIM | Primoris Services | 4.74 | 9 per month | 3.47 | 0.01 | 5.21 | (5.37) | 14.82 | |
| R | Ryder System | (1.25) | 12 per month | 1.44 | 0.16 | 3.79 | (3.01) | 8.43 | |
| AL | Air Lease | 0.02 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.23 | (0.17) | 0.50 | |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water | 0.42 | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.06 | 2.02 | (1.75) | 5.35 | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | (0.89) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.68 | (3.89) | 25.78 | |
| ADT | ADT Inc | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.64 | (2.68) | 9.17 | |
| TTC | Toro Co | 0.97 | 11 per month | 0.71 | 0.17 | 2.94 | (1.82) | 13.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oshkosh
For every potential investor in Oshkosh, whether a beginner or expert, Oshkosh's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oshkosh Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oshkosh. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oshkosh's price trends.Oshkosh Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oshkosh stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oshkosh could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oshkosh by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oshkosh Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oshkosh stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oshkosh shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oshkosh stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oshkosh entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 162.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 162.79 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.12) |
Oshkosh Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oshkosh's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oshkosh's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oshkosh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Variance | 5.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oshkosh
The number of cover stories for Oshkosh depends on current market conditions and Oshkosh's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oshkosh is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oshkosh's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oshkosh Short Properties
Oshkosh's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oshkosh's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oshkosh often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oshkosh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oshkosh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 373.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 479.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oshkosh to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Oshkosh Stock please use our How to buy in Oshkosh Stock guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oshkosh. Anticipated expansion of Oshkosh directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Oshkosh assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share 10.02 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.035 |
Investors evaluate Oshkosh using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Oshkosh's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Oshkosh's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Oshkosh's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Oshkosh should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Oshkosh's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.