OneSpaWorld Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

OSW Stock  USD 20.64  0.10  0.48%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of OneSpaWorld Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.30. OneSpaWorld Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of OneSpaWorld Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OneSpaWorld Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OneSpaWorld Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OneSpaWorld Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.018
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.166
Wall Street Target Price
26.5
Using OneSpaWorld Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneSpaWorld Holdings from the perspective of OneSpaWorld Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OneSpaWorld Holdings using OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OneSpaWorld using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock price.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long OneSpaWorld Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about OneSpaWorld Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge OneSpaWorld Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
20.2555
Short Percent
0.0194
Short Ratio
3.11
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
21.0231

OneSpaWorld Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to OneSpaWorld Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OneSpaWorld. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OneSpaWorld can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OneSpaWorld Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OneSpaWorld Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OneSpaWorld Holdings.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.69  
OneSpaWorld Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OneSpaWorld Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OneSpaWorld Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OneSpaWorld Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when OneSpaWorld Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of OneSpaWorld Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.30.

OneSpaWorld Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneSpaWorld Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy OneSpaWorld Stock please use our How to Invest in OneSpaWorld Holdings guide.At this time, OneSpaWorld Holdings' Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 22.89 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 13.48 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to climb to about 50.2 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 88.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 OneSpaWorld Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OneSpaWorld Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OneSpaWorld Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OneSpaWorld Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OneSpaWorld Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to OneSpaWorld Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OneSpaWorld Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OneSpaWorld. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OneSpaWorld price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneSpaWorld using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneSpaWorld charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through OneSpaWorld Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of OneSpaWorld Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 20.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.71, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneSpaWorld Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneSpaWorld Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OneSpaWorld Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OneSpaWorld HoldingsOneSpaWorld Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

OneSpaWorld Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OneSpaWorld Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneSpaWorld Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.86 and 22.67, respectively. We have considered OneSpaWorld Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.64
20.76
Expected Value
22.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneSpaWorld Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneSpaWorld Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8217
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7099
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0338
SAESum of the absolute errors43.3036
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as OneSpaWorld Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for OneSpaWorld Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneSpaWorld Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OneSpaWorld Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8220.7422.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6723.7725.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.2420.6021.96
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.1226.5029.42
Details

Other Forecasting Options for OneSpaWorld Holdings

For every potential investor in OneSpaWorld, whether a beginner or expert, OneSpaWorld Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneSpaWorld Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneSpaWorld. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneSpaWorld Holdings' price trends.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneSpaWorld Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneSpaWorld Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneSpaWorld Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OneSpaWorld Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OneSpaWorld Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OneSpaWorld Holdings' current price.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneSpaWorld Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneSpaWorld Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneSpaWorld Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneSpaWorld Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OneSpaWorld Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of OneSpaWorld Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneSpaWorld Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onespaworld stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for OneSpaWorld Stock Analysis

When running OneSpaWorld Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OneSpaWorld Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OneSpaWorld Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OneSpaWorld Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OneSpaWorld Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OneSpaWorld Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.