Blue Owl Stock Forward View
| OWL Stock | USD 11.63 0.43 3.57% |
Blue Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Blue Owl's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Blue Owl's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Blue Owl fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Blue Owl's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.719 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2337 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9751 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.1325 | Wall Street Target Price 19.7167 |
Using Blue Owl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Owl Capital from the perspective of Blue Owl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Blue Owl using Blue Owl's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Blue using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Blue Owl's stock price.
Blue Owl Short Interest
An investor who is long Blue Owl may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Blue Owl and may potentially protect profits, hedge Blue Owl with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.3938 | Short Percent 0.1311 | Short Ratio 7.37 | Shares Short Prior Month 69.2 M | 50 Day MA 15.1944 |
Blue Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blue Owl Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.75.Blue Owl Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blue Owl's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blue Owl Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blue Owl's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blue Owl.
Blue Owl Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Blue Owl's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blue Owl Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blue Owl's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Blue Owl stock will not fluctuate a lot when Blue Owl's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blue Owl Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.75.
Blue Owl after-hype prediction price | USD 11.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Owl to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Blue contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Blue Owl Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Blue Owl trading at USD 11.63, that is roughly USD 0.005379 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Blue Owl's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Blue Owl Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Blue Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Blue Owl's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Blue Owl's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Blue Owl stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Blue Owl's open interest, investors have to compare it to Blue Owl's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Blue Owl is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Blue. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Blue Owl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Blue Owl Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Blue Owl's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2016-06-30 | Previous Quarter 117.6 M | Current Value 137.3 M | Quarterly Volatility 115.4 M |
Blue Owl Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Blue Owl Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blue Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blue Owl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Blue Owl Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blue Owl | Blue Owl Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Blue Owl Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Blue Owl's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Blue Owl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.04 and 12.05, respectively. We have considered Blue Owl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blue Owl stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blue Owl stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3874 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3565 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.7481 |
Predictive Modules for Blue Owl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Owl Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Owl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Owl After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blue Owl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blue Owl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blue Owl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blue Owl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blue Owl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blue Owl's historical news coverage. Blue Owl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.08 and 14.08, respectively. We have considered Blue Owl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blue Owl is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Owl Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blue Owl Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Owl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Owl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Owl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.50 | 0.05 | 0.22 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.63 | 11.58 | 0.43 |
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Blue Owl Hype Timeline
On the 7th of February Blue Owl Capital is traded for 11.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Blue is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Blue Owl is about 427.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.85. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Blue Owl was now reported as 3.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.16. Blue Owl Capital last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Owl to cross-verify your projections.Blue Owl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Owl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Owl's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Owl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Owl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TROW | T Rowe Price | (1.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.48 | (3.74) | 8.58 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 2.05 | (1.46) | 6.97 | |
| ARES | Ares Management LP | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.44 | (3.85) | 17.42 | |
| CG | Carlyle Group | (0.10) | 8 per month | 2.23 | 0.0001 | 3.24 | (3.46) | 11.01 | |
| TPG | TPG Inc | 0.89 | 10 per month | 2.50 | (0.04) | 3.50 | (4.61) | 14.53 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | (0.61) | 11 per month | 0.70 | 0.26 | 2.67 | (1.40) | 6.01 | |
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | 0.60 | 8 per month | 0.45 | 0.26 | 2.41 | (1.17) | 5.12 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.17 | 3.38 | (2.12) | 10.36 | |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings | 4.96 | 9 per month | 2.05 | (0.03) | 2.82 | (3.79) | 7.84 | |
| STT | State Street Corp | 2.16 | 7 per month | 1.73 | 0.08 | 2.19 | (2.34) | 9.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blue Owl
For every potential investor in Blue, whether a beginner or expert, Blue Owl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Blue Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Blue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Blue Owl's price trends.Blue Owl Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Blue Owl stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Blue Owl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blue Owl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blue Owl Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blue Owl stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blue Owl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Blue Owl stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Blue Owl Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Blue Owl Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blue Owl's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blue Owl's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting blue stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.56 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blue Owl
The number of cover stories for Blue Owl depends on current market conditions and Blue Owl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Owl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Owl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Blue Owl Short Properties
Blue Owl's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Owl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Owl Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Owl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Owl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 558.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 152.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blue Owl to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Owl. Anticipated expansion of Blue directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Blue Owl assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.719 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.197 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Blue Owl Capital using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Blue Owl's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Blue Owl's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Blue Owl's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Blue Owl should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Blue Owl's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.