Blue Owl Capital Stock Price Prediction
| OWL Stock | USD 24.33 0.86 3.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.487 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.22 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.783 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.937 | Wall Street Target Price 23.55 |
Using Blue Owl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blue Owl Capital from the perspective of Blue Owl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Blue Owl Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blue Owl's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blue. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blue can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Blue Owl Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blue Owl's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Blue Owl.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blue Owl to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blue because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Blue Owl after-hype prediction price | USD 24.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Blue |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Owl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Owl After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blue Owl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blue Owl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Blue Owl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Blue Owl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blue Owl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blue Owl's historical news coverage. Blue Owl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.35 and 26.83, respectively. We have considered Blue Owl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Blue Owl is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Owl Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Blue Owl Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blue Owl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blue Owl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blue Owl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 2.26 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 12 Events / Month | 13 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.33 | 24.59 | 1.07 |
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Blue Owl Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Blue Owl Capital is traded for 24.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.29. Blue is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 24.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 1.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Blue Owl is about 431.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.62. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.73 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 54.34 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 862.46 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Blue Owl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Blue Owl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blue Owl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blue Owl's future price movements. Getting to know how Blue Owl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blue Owl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Blue Owl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Blue Owl Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Blue Owl stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blue Owl Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blue Owl based on analysis of Blue Owl hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blue Owl's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blue Owl's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0249 | 0.0397 | 0.0359 | 0.0426 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.33 | 3.35 | 3.99 | 3.79 |
Story Coverage note for Blue Owl
The number of cover stories for Blue Owl depends on current market conditions and Blue Owl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blue Owl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blue Owl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Blue Owl Short Properties
Blue Owl's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blue Owl's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blue Owl Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blue Owl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Owl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 478 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 104.2 M |
Check out Blue Owl Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Owl. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Owl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.487 | Dividend Share 0.68 | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share 4.18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.399 |
The market value of Blue Owl Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Owl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Owl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Owl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Owl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Owl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Owl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Owl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.