Delta Air Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

OYC Stock  EUR 57.76  1.12  1.90%   
Delta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Delta Air's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Delta Air's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Delta Air, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Delta Air's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Delta Air and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Delta Air's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Delta Air Lines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Delta Air hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delta Air Lines from the perspective of Delta Air response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Delta Air Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 57.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.65.

Delta Air after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 57.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delta Air to cross-verify your projections.

Delta Air Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Delta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Delta Air is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Delta Air Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Delta Air Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 57.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.04, mean absolute percentage error of 1.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delta Air's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Delta Air Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Delta Air  Delta Air Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Delta Air Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Delta Air's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delta Air's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.52 and 60.00, respectively. We have considered Delta Air's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
57.76
57.76
Expected Value
60.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delta Air stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delta Air stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9316
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.165
MADMean absolute deviation1.0448
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors61.645
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Delta Air Lines price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Delta Air. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Delta Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delta Air Lines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.5257.7660.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.0956.3358.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
57.3159.9462.57
Details

Delta Air After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Delta Air at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delta Air or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delta Air, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Delta Air Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Delta Air's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delta Air's historical news coverage. Delta Air's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.52 and 60.00, respectively. We have considered Delta Air's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
57.76
57.76
After-hype Price
60.00
Upside
Delta Air is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delta Air Lines is based on 3 months time horizon.

Delta Air Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delta Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delta Air backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delta Air, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
2.24
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
57.76
57.76
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Delta Air Hype Timeline

Delta Air Lines is now traded for 57.76on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Delta is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Delta Air is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.76. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Delta Air was now reported as 10.31. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.08. Delta Air Lines last dividend was issued on the 19th of February 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delta Air to cross-verify your projections.

Delta Air Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Delta Air's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delta Air's future price movements. Getting to know how Delta Air's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delta Air may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Delta Air

For every potential investor in Delta, whether a beginner or expert, Delta Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delta Air's price trends.

Delta Air Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delta Air stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delta Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delta Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Delta Air Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delta Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delta Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delta Air stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delta Air Lines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Delta Air Risk Indicators

The analysis of Delta Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delta Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Delta Air

The number of cover stories for Delta Air depends on current market conditions and Delta Air's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delta Air is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delta Air's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Delta Stock

When determining whether Delta Air Lines is a strong investment it is important to analyze Delta Air's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Delta Air's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Delta Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delta Air to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delta Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delta Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delta Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.