PAR Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PAR Stock | USD 28.11 3.47 10.99% |
PAR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although PAR Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PAR Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PAR Technology fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of PAR Technology's share price is approaching 34 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PAR Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0343 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0986 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.6043 | Wall Street Target Price 59.1111 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) |
Using PAR Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PAR Technology from the perspective of PAR Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PAR Technology using PAR Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PAR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PAR Technology's stock price.
PAR Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long PAR Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PAR Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge PAR Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.779 | Short Percent 0.1923 | Short Ratio 15.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 35.84 |
PAR Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 28.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.15.PAR Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PAR Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PAR Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PAR Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PAR Technology.
PAR Technology Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
PAR Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PAR Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PAR Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PAR Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when PAR Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 28.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.15. PAR Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 28.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PAR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PAR Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PAR Technology trading at USD 28.11, that is roughly USD 0.0155 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PAR Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PAR Technology options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PAR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PAR Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PAR Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PAR Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PAR Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to PAR Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PAR Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PAR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PAR Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PAR Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PAR Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 28.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PAR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PAR Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PAR Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PAR Technology | PAR Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PAR Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PAR Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PAR Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.19 and 32.03, respectively. We have considered PAR Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PAR Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PAR Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1304 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1702 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0324 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.15 |
Predictive Modules for PAR Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PAR Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PAR Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PAR Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PAR Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PAR Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PAR Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PAR Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PAR Technology's historical news coverage. PAR Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.23 and 31.99, respectively. We have considered PAR Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PAR Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PAR Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
PAR Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PAR Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PAR Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PAR Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.92 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.11 | 28.11 | 0.00 |
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PAR Technology Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January PAR Technology is traded for 28.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. PAR is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on PAR Technology is about 4215.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.08. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PAR Technology recorded a loss per share of 2.31. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 9th of January 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAR Technology to cross-verify your projections.PAR Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PAR Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PAR Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how PAR Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PAR Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALIT | Alight Inc | (0.02) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 4.40 | (6.25) | 15.07 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | 0.20 | 7 per month | 2.57 | (0.01) | 4.19 | (4.48) | 14.37 | |
| KDK | Kodiak AI Common | (0.29) | 9 per month | 4.93 | 0.08 | 8.29 | (7.72) | 25.80 | |
| LSPD | Lightspeed Commerce | (0.29) | 3 per month | 2.46 | (0.02) | 2.99 | (4.61) | 21.78 | |
| PD | Pagerduty | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.09 | (5.08) | 25.87 | |
| MLNK | Meridianlink | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.40 | 7 per month | 1.56 | 0.05 | 5.56 | (2.84) | 10.32 | |
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | 0.06 | 9 per month | 2.82 | 0.08 | 5.70 | (5.51) | 44.62 | |
| ADEA | ADEIA P | (0.29) | 3 per month | 3.93 | 0.04 | 4.89 | (3.51) | 33.50 | |
| PRCH | Porch Group | (0.54) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.27 | (6.15) | 42.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for PAR Technology
For every potential investor in PAR, whether a beginner or expert, PAR Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PAR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PAR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PAR Technology's price trends.PAR Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PAR Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PAR Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PAR Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PAR Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PAR Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PAR Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PAR Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PAR Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 453546.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.81) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.47) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.22 |
PAR Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of PAR Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PAR Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting par stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Variance | 14.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PAR Technology
The number of cover stories for PAR Technology depends on current market conditions and PAR Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PAR Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PAR Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PAR Technology Short Properties
PAR Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when PAR Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PAR Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PAR Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PAR Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.6 M |
Additional Tools for PAR Stock Analysis
When running PAR Technology's price analysis, check to measure PAR Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PAR Technology is operating at the current time. Most of PAR Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PAR Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PAR Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PAR Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.