Paymentus Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PAY Stock | USD 27.18 0.45 1.68% |
Paymentus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Paymentus Holdings' share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Paymentus Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.273 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6573 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.765 | Wall Street Target Price 39.4286 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.342 |
Using Paymentus Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paymentus Holdings from the perspective of Paymentus Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Paymentus Holdings using Paymentus Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Paymentus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Paymentus Holdings' stock price.
Paymentus Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Paymentus Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Paymentus Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Paymentus Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 32.5846 | Short Percent 0.0259 | Short Ratio 1.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 32.9886 |
Paymentus Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paymentus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.95.Paymentus Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Paymentus Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Paymentus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Paymentus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Paymentus Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Paymentus Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Paymentus Holdings.
Paymentus Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Paymentus Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Paymentus Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Paymentus Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Paymentus Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Paymentus Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paymentus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.95. Paymentus Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 26.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Paymentus | Build AI portfolio with Paymentus Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Paymentus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Paymentus Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Paymentus Holdings trading at USD 27.18, that is roughly USD 0.0119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Paymentus Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Paymentus Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Paymentus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Paymentus Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Paymentus Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Paymentus Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Paymentus Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Paymentus Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Paymentus Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Paymentus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Paymentus Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paymentus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paymentus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paymentus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Paymentus Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paymentus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paymentus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paymentus Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Paymentus Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Paymentus Holdings | Paymentus Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Paymentus Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Paymentus Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Paymentus Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.55 and 29.81, respectively. We have considered Paymentus Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paymentus Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paymentus Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.02 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1382 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6158 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.95 |
Predictive Modules for Paymentus Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paymentus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Paymentus Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Paymentus Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Paymentus Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Paymentus Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Paymentus Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Paymentus Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Paymentus Holdings' historical news coverage. Paymentus Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.27 and 29.53, respectively. We have considered Paymentus Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Paymentus Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Paymentus Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Paymentus Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Paymentus Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paymentus Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Paymentus Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.63 | 1.24 | 0.35 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.18 | 26.90 | 0.64 |
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Paymentus Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Paymentus Holdings is traded for 27.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. Paymentus is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 88.85%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Paymentus Holdings is about 319.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.53. The company reported the last year's revenue of 871.75 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 44.17 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 278.38 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paymentus Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Paymentus Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Paymentus Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Paymentus Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Paymentus Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Paymentus Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRRM | Verra Mobility Corp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.25 | (2.63) | 7.22 | |
| NIQ | NIQ Global Intelligence | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.96 | 0.12 | 4.93 | (3.20) | 10.33 | |
| BL | Blackline | (0.30) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.70 | (3.99) | 12.75 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 2.71 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (2.45) | 21.53 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 | |
| COMM | CommScope Holding Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 4.14 | (4.01) | 15.17 | |
| DAVE | Dave Inc | 1.46 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.29 | (8.15) | 19.16 | |
| GLOB | Globant SA | (0.94) | 9 per month | 2.54 | 0.03 | 5.74 | (3.52) | 14.86 | |
| AVT | Avnet Inc | (0.23) | 6 per month | 1.07 | 0.13 | 3.50 | (1.89) | 9.18 | |
| AGYS | Agilysys | 5.45 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.41 | (5.45) | 42.55 |
Other Forecasting Options for Paymentus Holdings
For every potential investor in Paymentus, whether a beginner or expert, Paymentus Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paymentus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paymentus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paymentus Holdings' price trends.Paymentus Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paymentus Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paymentus Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paymentus Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Paymentus Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paymentus Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paymentus Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paymentus Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paymentus Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Paymentus Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Paymentus Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paymentus Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paymentus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Variance | 17.6 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Paymentus Holdings
The number of cover stories for Paymentus Holdings depends on current market conditions and Paymentus Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Paymentus Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Paymentus Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Paymentus Holdings Short Properties
Paymentus Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Paymentus Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Paymentus Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Paymentus Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paymentus Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 205.9 M |
Additional Tools for Paymentus Stock Analysis
When running Paymentus Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Paymentus Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paymentus Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Paymentus Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paymentus Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paymentus Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paymentus Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.