Paychex Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| PAYX Stock | USD 94.84 4.19 4.23% |
Paychex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Paychex's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.488 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9105 | Wall Street Target Price 119.5333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.2305 |
Using Paychex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paychex from the perspective of Paychex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Paychex using Paychex's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Paychex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Paychex's stock price.
Paychex Short Interest
An investor who is long Paychex may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Paychex and may potentially protect profits, hedge Paychex with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 130.4309 | Short Percent 0.0539 | Short Ratio 5.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.2 M | 50 Day MA 109.4418 |
Paychex Relative Strength Index
Paychex Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Paychex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Paychex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Paychex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Paychex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Paychex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Paychex.
Paychex Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Paychex's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Paychex stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Paychex's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Paychex stock will not fluctuate a lot when Paychex's options are near their expiration.
Paychex after-hype prediction price | USD 94.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paychex to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Paychex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Paychex will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Paychex trading at USD 94.84, that is roughly USD 0.0249 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Paychex's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Paychex options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Paychex Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Paychex's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Paychex's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Paychex stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Paychex's open interest, investors have to compare it to Paychex's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Paychex is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Paychex. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Paychex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paychex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paychex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paychex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 117845.0 | 290799.0 |
| Check Paychex Volatility | Backtest Paychex | Information Ratio |
Paychex Trading Date Momentum
| On February 11 2026 Paychex was traded for 94.84 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 99.12 and the lowest listed price was 94.08 . The trading volume for the day was 5.7 M. The trading history from February 11, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 3.60% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Paychex to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Paychex
For every potential investor in Paychex, whether a beginner or expert, Paychex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paychex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paychex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paychex's price trends.Paychex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paychex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paychex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paychex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Paychex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paychex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paychex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paychex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paychex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 290799.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.83) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.85) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.19) |
Paychex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Paychex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paychex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paychex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Paychex
The number of cover stories for Paychex depends on current market conditions and Paychex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Paychex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Paychex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Paychex Short Properties
Paychex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Paychex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Paychex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Paychex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paychex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 362 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Additional Tools for Paychex Stock Analysis
When running Paychex's price analysis, check to measure Paychex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paychex is operating at the current time. Most of Paychex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paychex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paychex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paychex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.