Pinnacle Bancshares Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

PCLB Stock  USD 33.05  0.45  1.34%   
Pinnacle Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pinnacle Bancshares stock prices and determine the direction of Pinnacle Bancshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pinnacle Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Pinnacle Bancshares' pink sheet price is about 62 indicating that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pinnacle, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pinnacle Bancshares' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pinnacle Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pinnacle Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pinnacle Bancshares from the perspective of Pinnacle Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pinnacle Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.13.

Pinnacle Bancshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.

Pinnacle Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pinnacle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pinnacle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pinnacle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Pinnacle Bancshares works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Pinnacle Bancshares Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pinnacle Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 33.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pinnacle Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pinnacle Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pinnacle Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Pinnacle Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pinnacle Bancshares' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pinnacle Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.24 and 34.01, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.05
33.13
Expected Value
34.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pinnacle Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pinnacle Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0351
MADMean absolute deviation0.1547
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors9.127
When Pinnacle Bancshares prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Pinnacle Bancshares trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Pinnacle Bancshares observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pinnacle Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinnacle Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1633.0533.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.7437.8838.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.4732.9933.51
Details

Pinnacle Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pinnacle Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pinnacle Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pinnacle Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pinnacle Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pinnacle Bancshares' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pinnacle Bancshares' historical news coverage. Pinnacle Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.16 and 33.94, respectively. We have considered Pinnacle Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.05
33.05
After-hype Price
33.94
Upside
Pinnacle Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pinnacle Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pinnacle Bancshares Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pinnacle Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinnacle Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pinnacle Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
0.89
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.05
33.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pinnacle Bancshares Hype Timeline

Pinnacle Bancshares is at this time traded for 33.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pinnacle is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pinnacle Bancshares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.05. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.71. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pinnacle Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 9th of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of October 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinnacle Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.

Pinnacle Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pinnacle Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pinnacle Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Pinnacle Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pinnacle Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GTPSGreat American Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.82  0.05  1.85 (2.19) 10.96 
PNBIPioneer Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 1.36  0.07  3.13 (2.90) 14.17 
SCYTSecurity Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  1.09  0.00  13.84 
FBPAThe Farmers Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  1.88 (0.37) 11.25 
HCKGHocking Valley Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.11  0.07  0.88 (0.69) 17.71 
AMFCAMB Financial Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.22  0.84  0.00  3.29 
JFWVJefferson Security Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  3.88 
FSBHFirst Southern Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  1.27 (0.90) 55.52 
CNBZCNB Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  19.58 
MDVTMiddlebury National 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.22  3.74 (0.97) 10.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Pinnacle Bancshares

For every potential investor in Pinnacle, whether a beginner or expert, Pinnacle Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pinnacle Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pinnacle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pinnacle Bancshares' price trends.

Pinnacle Bancshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pinnacle Bancshares pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pinnacle Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pinnacle Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pinnacle Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pinnacle Bancshares pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pinnacle Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pinnacle Bancshares pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Pinnacle Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pinnacle Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pinnacle Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pinnacle Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pinnacle pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pinnacle Bancshares

The number of cover stories for Pinnacle Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Pinnacle Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pinnacle Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pinnacle Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Pinnacle Pink Sheet

Pinnacle Bancshares financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pinnacle Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pinnacle with respect to the benefits of owning Pinnacle Bancshares security.