Precision Drilling Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PDS Stock  USD 66.13  0.99  1.52%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Precision Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 66.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.02. Precision Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Precision Drilling's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.91 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 6.67 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 14.4 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (29.3 M) in 2024.
Precision Drilling polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Precision Drilling as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Precision Drilling Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Precision Drilling on the next trading day is expected to be 66.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65, mean absolute percentage error of 3.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Precision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Precision Drilling's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Precision Drilling Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Precision DrillingPrecision Drilling Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Precision Drilling Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Precision Drilling's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Precision Drilling's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.76 and 68.42, respectively. We have considered Precision Drilling's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.13
66.09
Expected Value
68.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Precision Drilling stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Precision Drilling stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3248
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6454
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors102.0156
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Precision Drilling historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Precision Drilling

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Precision Drilling. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Precision Drilling's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.7066.0368.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.5282.1584.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
60.8563.5366.20
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
89.7498.62109.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Precision Drilling

For every potential investor in Precision, whether a beginner or expert, Precision Drilling's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Precision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Precision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Precision Drilling's price trends.

Precision Drilling Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Precision Drilling stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Precision Drilling could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Precision Drilling by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Precision Drilling Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Precision Drilling's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Precision Drilling's current price.

Precision Drilling Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Precision Drilling stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Precision Drilling shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Precision Drilling stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Precision Drilling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Precision Drilling Risk Indicators

The analysis of Precision Drilling's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Precision Drilling's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting precision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Precision Stock Analysis

When running Precision Drilling's price analysis, check to measure Precision Drilling's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Precision Drilling is operating at the current time. Most of Precision Drilling's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Precision Drilling's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Precision Drilling's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Precision Drilling to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.