Perfect Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PERF Stock | USD 1.70 0.04 2.41% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Perfect Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.76. Perfect Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Perfect Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Perfect Corp's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.019 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 4.15 |
Using Perfect Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perfect Corp from the perspective of Perfect Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Perfect Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perfect Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perfect. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perfect can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perfect Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Perfect Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.76.
Perfect Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 1.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perfect Corp to cross-verify your projections. Perfect Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perfect price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perfect using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perfect charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perfect Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Perfect Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perfect Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perfect Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perfect Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perfect Corp | Perfect Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Perfect Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perfect Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perfect Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.62, respectively. We have considered Perfect Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perfect Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perfect Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3655 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0445 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0246 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.756 |
Predictive Modules for Perfect Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perfect Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perfect Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perfect Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perfect Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perfect Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perfect Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perfect Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perfect Corp's historical news coverage. Perfect Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 4.66, respectively. We have considered Perfect Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perfect Corp is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perfect Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perfect Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perfect Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perfect Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perfect Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.95 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.70 | 1.71 | 0.59 |
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Perfect Corp Hype Timeline
Perfect Corp is at this time traded for 1.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Perfect is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.59%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Perfect Corp is about 2521.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.72. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 60.2 M. Net Income was 5.02 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 50.69 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perfect Corp to cross-verify your projections.Perfect Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perfect Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perfect Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Perfect Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perfect Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMMR | Immersion | 0.08 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.90) | 22.47 | |
| DUOT | Duos Technologies Group | 0.22 | 8 per month | 3.92 | 0.09 | 7.81 | (6.94) | 23.66 | |
| WALD | Waldencast Acquisition Corp | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.57 | (6.49) | 33.33 | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.14 | (4.19) | 20.77 | |
| CCRD | CoreCard Corp | (0.02) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.18 | (2.96) | 16.08 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | 0.06 | 12 per month | 1.45 | 0.12 | 4.60 | (3.14) | 38.78 | |
| GCL | GCL Global Holdings | 0.77 | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.96 | (6.70) | 24.13 | |
| EB | Eventbrite Class A | (0.07) | 35 per month | 0.99 | 0.13 | 4.18 | (3.58) | 79.08 | |
| ASUR | Asure Software | 0.26 | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.02 | 3.92 | (3.51) | 17.19 | |
| TCX | Tucows Inc | 0.08 | 10 per month | 2.22 | 0.14 | 5.31 | (4.30) | 13.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perfect Corp
For every potential investor in Perfect, whether a beginner or expert, Perfect Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perfect Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perfect. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perfect Corp's price trends.Perfect Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perfect Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perfect Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perfect Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perfect Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perfect Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perfect Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perfect Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perfect Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1482.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
Perfect Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perfect Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perfect Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perfect stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.45 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perfect Corp
The number of cover stories for Perfect Corp depends on current market conditions and Perfect Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perfect Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perfect Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perfect Corp Short Properties
Perfect Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perfect Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perfect Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perfect Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perfect Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perfect Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Perfect Stock please use our How to Invest in Perfect Corp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perfect Corp. If investors know Perfect will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perfect Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Earnings Share 0.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.157 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Perfect Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perfect that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perfect Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perfect Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perfect Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perfect Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perfect Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perfect Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perfect Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.