Procter Gamble Stock Forward View
| PG Stock | USD 156.86 1.54 0.99% |
Procter Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Procter Gamble's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Procter Gamble's stock price is roughly 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Procter, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5818 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.9687 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3184 | Wall Street Target Price 167.4545 |
Using Procter Gamble hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Procter Gamble from the perspective of Procter Gamble response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Procter Gamble using Procter Gamble's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Procter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Procter Gamble's stock price.
Procter Gamble Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Procter Gamble's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Procter. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Procter Gamble stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 153.9338 | Short Percent 0.0082 | Short Ratio 1.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.8 M | 50 Day MA 145.2648 |
Procter Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Procter Gamble on the next trading day is expected to be 158.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.01.Procter Gamble Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Procter Gamble's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Procter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Procter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Procter Gamble. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Procter Gamble's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Procter Gamble.
Procter Gamble Implied Volatility | 0.31 |
Procter Gamble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Procter Gamble stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Procter Gamble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Procter Gamble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Procter Gamble's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Procter Gamble on the next trading day is expected to be 158.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.01. Procter Gamble after-hype prediction price | USD 155.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Procter Gamble to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Procter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Procter Gamble will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Procter Gamble trading at USD 156.86, that is roughly USD 0.0304 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Procter Gamble's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Procter Gamble options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Procter Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Procter Gamble's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Procter Gamble's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Procter Gamble stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Procter Gamble's open interest, investors have to compare it to Procter Gamble's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Procter Gamble is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Procter. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Procter Gamble Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Procter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Procter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Procter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Procter Gamble Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Procter Gamble's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-06-30 | Previous Quarter 11.2 B | Current Value 10.8 B | Quarterly Volatility 3.2 B |
Procter Gamble Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Procter Gamble on the next trading day is expected to be 158.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.54, mean absolute percentage error of 4.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Procter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Procter Gamble's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Procter Gamble Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Procter Gamble | Procter Gamble Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Procter Gamble Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Procter Gamble's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Procter Gamble's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 157.38 and 159.79, respectively. We have considered Procter Gamble's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Procter Gamble stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Procter Gamble stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.552 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5411 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 94.0082 |
Predictive Modules for Procter Gamble
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Procter Gamble. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Procter Gamble After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Procter Gamble at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Procter Gamble or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Procter Gamble, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Procter Gamble Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Procter Gamble's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Procter Gamble's historical news coverage. Procter Gamble's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 154.04 and 156.44, respectively. We have considered Procter Gamble's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Procter Gamble is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Procter Gamble is based on 3 months time horizon.
Procter Gamble Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Procter Gamble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Procter Gamble backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Procter Gamble, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.20 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
156.86 | 155.24 | 0.05 |
|
Procter Gamble Hype Timeline
As of February 4, 2026 Procter Gamble is listed for 156.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Procter is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 155.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 181.82%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Procter Gamble is about 4000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 156.86. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.76. Procter Gamble last dividend was issued on the 23rd of January 2026. The entity had 2:1 split on the 21st of June 2004. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Procter Gamble to cross-verify your projections.Procter Gamble Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Procter Gamble's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Procter Gamble's future price movements. Getting to know how Procter Gamble's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Procter Gamble may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| FPCG | First Physicians Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSFI | Green Stream Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.40) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 2.10 | (1.71) | 7.41 | |
| GVPIX | Us Government Plus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.76 | (1.23) | 2.68 | |
| TTNDY | Techtronic Industries Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 3.23 | (2.45) | 7.25 | |
| VTARX | Virtus Dfa 2040 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.86 | (0.83) | 17.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Procter Gamble
For every potential investor in Procter, whether a beginner or expert, Procter Gamble's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Procter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Procter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Procter Gamble's price trends.Procter Gamble Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Procter Gamble stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Procter Gamble could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Procter Gamble by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Procter Gamble Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Procter Gamble stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Procter Gamble shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Procter Gamble stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Procter Gamble entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Procter Gamble Risk Indicators
The analysis of Procter Gamble's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Procter Gamble's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting procter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9381 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Procter Gamble
The number of cover stories for Procter Gamble depends on current market conditions and Procter Gamble's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Procter Gamble is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Procter Gamble's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Procter Gamble Short Properties
Procter Gamble's future price predictability will typically decrease when Procter Gamble's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Procter Gamble often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Procter Gamble's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Procter Gamble's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Procter Gamble to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Procter Stock please use our How to Invest in Procter Gamble guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Can Household Products industry sustain growth momentum? Does Procter have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. Anticipated expansion of Procter directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Procter Gamble demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 4.177 | Earnings Share 6.76 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
Investors evaluate Procter Gamble using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Procter Gamble's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Procter Gamble's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Procter Gamble's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Procter Gamble should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Procter Gamble's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.