Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PH Stock | USD 906.89 12.91 1.44% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 908.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 587.01. Parker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parker Hannifin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Parker Hannifin's share price is above 80 indicating that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 85
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.178 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.8297 | EPS Estimate Current Year 30.2928 | EPS Estimate Next Year 33.0664 | Wall Street Target Price 924.9055 |
Using Parker Hannifin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Parker Hannifin from the perspective of Parker Hannifin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Parker Hannifin using Parker Hannifin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Parker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Parker Hannifin's stock price.
Parker Hannifin Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Parker Hannifin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Parker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Parker Hannifin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 726.5759 | Short Percent 0.0112 | Short Ratio 2.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 842.3108 |
Parker Hannifin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Parker Hannifin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Parker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Parker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Parker Hannifin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Parker Hannifin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Parker Hannifin.
Parker Hannifin Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Parker Hannifin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Parker Hannifin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Parker Hannifin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Parker Hannifin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Parker Hannifin's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 908.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 587.01. Parker Hannifin after-hype prediction price | USD 888.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Parker Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Parker Hannifin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Parker Hannifin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Parker Hannifin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Parker Hannifin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Parker Hannifin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Parker Hannifin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Parker. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Parker Hannifin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Parker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Parker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Parker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parker Hannifin Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 908.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.95, mean absolute percentage error of 191.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 587.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parker Hannifin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Parker Hannifin | Parker Hannifin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Parker Hannifin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Parker Hannifin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parker Hannifin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 907.22 and 910.36, respectively. We have considered Parker Hannifin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parker Hannifin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parker Hannifin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.8875 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.9493 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0122 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 587.0069 |
Predictive Modules for Parker Hannifin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parker Hannifin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Parker Hannifin
For every potential investor in Parker, whether a beginner or expert, Parker Hannifin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parker Hannifin's price trends.Parker Hannifin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parker Hannifin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parker Hannifin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parker Hannifin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Parker Hannifin Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Parker Hannifin's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Parker Hannifin's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parker Hannifin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parker Hannifin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parker Hannifin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parker Hannifin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parker Hannifin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11558.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5339 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 905.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 906.02 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 7.76 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 12.91 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 85.55 |
Parker Hannifin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Parker Hannifin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parker Hannifin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9228 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8515 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Parker Stock please use our How to Invest in Parker Hannifin guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Parker Hannifin. If investors know Parker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Parker Hannifin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.178 | Dividend Share 6.86 | Earnings Share 28.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Parker Hannifin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Parker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Parker Hannifin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Parker Hannifin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Parker Hannifin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Parker Hannifin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Parker Hannifin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Parker Hannifin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Parker Hannifin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.