Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PH Stock | USD 939.27 6.02 0.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 944.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 693.00. Parker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Parker Hannifin's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Parker Hannifin's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.178 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.8297 | EPS Estimate Current Year 30.3226 | EPS Estimate Next Year 33.3202 | Wall Street Target Price 962.6052 |
Using Parker Hannifin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Parker Hannifin from the perspective of Parker Hannifin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Parker Hannifin using Parker Hannifin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Parker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Parker Hannifin's stock price.
Parker Hannifin Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Parker Hannifin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Parker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Parker Hannifin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 743.1293 | Short Percent 0.01 | Short Ratio 2.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 877.0174 |
Parker Hannifin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Parker Hannifin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Parker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Parker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Parker Hannifin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Parker Hannifin Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
Parker Hannifin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Parker Hannifin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Parker Hannifin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Parker Hannifin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Parker Hannifin's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 944.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 693.00. Parker Hannifin after-hype prediction price | USD 938.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Parker contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Parker Hannifin will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Parker Hannifin trading at USD 939.27, that is roughly USD 0.16 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Parker Hannifin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Parker Hannifin options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Parker Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Parker Hannifin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Parker Hannifin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Parker Hannifin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Parker Hannifin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Parker Hannifin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Parker Hannifin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Parker. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Parker Hannifin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Parker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Parker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Parker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Parker Hannifin Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Parker Hannifin's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-06-30 | Previous Quarter 467 M | Current Value 473 M | Quarterly Volatility 584.8 M |
Parker Hannifin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Parker Hannifin on the next trading day is expected to be 944.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.36, mean absolute percentage error of 216.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 693.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Parker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Parker Hannifin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Parker Hannifin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Parker Hannifin | Parker Hannifin Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Parker Hannifin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Parker Hannifin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Parker Hannifin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 943.03 and 945.98, respectively. We have considered Parker Hannifin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Parker Hannifin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Parker Hannifin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.488 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.3607 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 692.9999 |
Predictive Modules for Parker Hannifin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parker Hannifin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Parker Hannifin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Parker Hannifin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Parker Hannifin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Parker Hannifin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Parker Hannifin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Parker Hannifin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Parker Hannifin's historical news coverage. Parker Hannifin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 936.81 and 939.79, respectively. We have considered Parker Hannifin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Parker Hannifin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Parker Hannifin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Parker Hannifin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Parker Hannifin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Parker Hannifin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Parker Hannifin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.47 | 0.94 | 1.26 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
939.27 | 938.30 | 0.10 |
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Parker Hannifin Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Parker Hannifin is listed for 939.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.26. Parker is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 938.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 51.4%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Parker Hannifin is about 38.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 940.53. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 28.08. Parker Hannifin last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 2nd of October 2007. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections.Parker Hannifin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Parker Hannifin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Parker Hannifin's future price movements. Getting to know how Parker Hannifin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Parker Hannifin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMR | Emerson Electric | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.09 | 2.36 | (2.84) | 8.01 | |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace | 6.24 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.07 | 3.26 | (2.70) | 7.50 | |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | 5.54 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.26 | (2.98) | 7.87 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | 7.76 | 9 per month | 1.42 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.82) | 6.43 | |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing | 1.86 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.69 | (2.05) | 7.21 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | 4.10 | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.05 | 2.00 | (2.00) | 7.72 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (2.26) | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.24 | 2.87 | (2.39) | 9.83 | |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | 9.23 | 6 per month | 1.47 | 0.12 | 2.91 | (2.44) | 7.74 | |
| MMM | 3M Company | 3.47 | 11 per month | 1.72 | (0) | 2.33 | (2.10) | 14.62 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 1.82 | 35 per month | 1.37 | 0.06 | 2.85 | (1.59) | 9.88 |
Other Forecasting Options for Parker Hannifin
For every potential investor in Parker, whether a beginner or expert, Parker Hannifin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Parker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Parker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Parker Hannifin's price trends.Parker Hannifin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Parker Hannifin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Parker Hannifin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Parker Hannifin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Parker Hannifin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Parker Hannifin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Parker Hannifin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Parker Hannifin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Parker Hannifin entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 939.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 939.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.02) |
Parker Hannifin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Parker Hannifin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Parker Hannifin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting parker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6616 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4377 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Parker Hannifin
The number of cover stories for Parker Hannifin depends on current market conditions and Parker Hannifin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Parker Hannifin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Parker Hannifin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Parker Hannifin Short Properties
Parker Hannifin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Parker Hannifin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Parker Hannifin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Parker Hannifin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parker Hannifin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 467 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Parker Hannifin to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Parker Stock please use our How to Invest in Parker Hannifin guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Parker Hannifin. If investors know Parker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Parker Hannifin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.178 | Dividend Share 6.86 | Earnings Share 28.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Parker Hannifin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Parker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Parker Hannifin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Parker Hannifin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Parker Hannifin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Parker Hannifin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Parker Hannifin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Parker Hannifin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Parker Hannifin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.