Pharming Group Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PHAR Stock  USD 18.72  0.70  3.88%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pharming Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 18.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.31. Pharming Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Pharming Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Pharming Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Pharming Group fundamentals over time.
As of today the rsi of Pharming Group's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pharming Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pharming Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pharming Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pharming Group NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pharming Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.021
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0635
Wall Street Target Price
31
Using Pharming Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pharming Group NV from the perspective of Pharming Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Pharming Group NV Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pharming Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pharming. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pharming can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pharming Group NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pharming Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pharming Group.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pharming Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 18.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.31.

Pharming Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pharming Group to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Pharming Group's Payables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/15/2026, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 9.74, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.91. . As of 01/15/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 46.1 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 8.3 M.

Pharming Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pharming price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pharming using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pharming charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Pharming Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Pharming Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pharming Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 18.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pharming Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pharming Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pharming Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pharming GroupPharming Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pharming Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pharming Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pharming Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.87 and 23.49, respectively. We have considered Pharming Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.72
18.68
Expected Value
23.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pharming Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pharming Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8461
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7793
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0493
SAESum of the absolute errors48.3145
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pharming Group NV historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Pharming Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pharming Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1718.9523.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0222.8027.58
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.2131.0034.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.020.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pharming Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pharming Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pharming Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pharming Group NV.

Other Forecasting Options for Pharming Group

For every potential investor in Pharming, whether a beginner or expert, Pharming Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pharming Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pharming. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pharming Group's price trends.

Pharming Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pharming Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pharming Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pharming Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pharming Group NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pharming Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pharming Group's current price.

Pharming Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pharming Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pharming Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pharming Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pharming Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pharming Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pharming Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pharming Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pharming stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Pharming Group

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pharming Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pharming Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Pharming Stock

  0.8AMGN Amgen IncPairCorr

Moving against Pharming Stock

  0.8HPQ HP IncPairCorr
  0.74LIPO Lipella PharmaceuticalsPairCorr
  0.66HD Home DepotPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pharming Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pharming Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pharming Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pharming Group NV to buy it.
The correlation of Pharming Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pharming Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pharming Group NV moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pharming Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Pharming Stock Analysis

When running Pharming Group's price analysis, check to measure Pharming Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pharming Group is operating at the current time. Most of Pharming Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pharming Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pharming Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pharming Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.