Biomx Stock Forward View

PHGE Stock  USD 5.72  1.33  18.87%   
Biomx Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Biomx stock prices and determine the direction of Biomx Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Biomx's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The RSI of Biomx's share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Biomx, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Biomx's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Biomx and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Biomx's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biomx Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Biomx's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.34)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(20.35)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(12.23)
Wall Street Target Price
165
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.32)
Using Biomx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biomx Inc from the perspective of Biomx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Biomx Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.64.

Biomx Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Biomx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Biomx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Biomx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Biomx Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Biomx's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Biomx.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.64.

Biomx after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections.

Biomx Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Biomx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biomx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biomx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Biomx Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Biomx's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2018-09-30
Previous Quarter
14 M
Current Value
7.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
21.9 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Biomx is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Biomx Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Biomx Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biomx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biomx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Biomx Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Biomx  Biomx Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Biomx Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Biomx's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biomx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 21.25, respectively. We have considered Biomx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.72
7.53
Expected Value
21.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biomx stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biomx stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9622
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4367
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1248
SAESum of the absolute errors26.6362
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Biomx Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Biomx. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Biomx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biomx Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.357.0520.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.265.2318.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.193.276.74
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
150.15165.00183.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Biomx. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Biomx's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Biomx's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Biomx Inc.

Biomx After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Biomx at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biomx or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biomx, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Biomx Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Biomx's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biomx's historical news coverage. Biomx's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.35 and 20.77, respectively. We have considered Biomx's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.72
7.05
After-hype Price
20.77
Upside
Biomx is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biomx Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biomx Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biomx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biomx backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biomx, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
13.72
  0.07 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.72
7.05
0.00 
8,575  
Notes

Biomx Hype Timeline

Biomx Inc is at this time traded for 5.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Biomx is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Biomx is about 33463.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.74. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 37.05. Biomx Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:19 split on the 25th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections.

Biomx Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Biomx's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biomx's future price movements. Getting to know how Biomx's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biomx may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EDSAEdesa Biotech 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.27) 4.14 (8.21) 21.29 
MPLTMapLight Therapeutics Common 0.39 3 per month 4.10  0.02  8.62 (7.89) 39.27 
PMNProMIS Neurosciences(0.09)7 per month 5.49  0.05  12.12 (7.69) 38.10 
ERNAEterna Therapeutics(0.03)5 per month 4.61  0.02  12.10 (7.41) 51.97 
BRTXBioRestorative Therapies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.36 (5.93) 37.70 
DWTXDogwood Therapeutics 0.42 7 per month 0.00 (0.14) 7.78 (11.30) 33.43 
TRAWTraws Pharma(0.06)10 per month 8.74  0.01  17.70 (12.90) 58.96 
OSRHOSR Holdings(0.16)8 per month 6.21  0.05  16.07 (10.14) 43.23 
IMRNImmuron Ltd ADR(0.06)5 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.88 (12.72) 36.62 
ADAPAdaptimmune Therapeutics Plc(0.01)6 per month 15.04  0.03  22.82 (18.18) 168.52 

Other Forecasting Options for Biomx

For every potential investor in Biomx, whether a beginner or expert, Biomx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biomx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biomx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biomx's price trends.

Biomx Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biomx stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biomx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biomx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Biomx Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biomx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biomx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biomx stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Biomx Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Biomx Risk Indicators

The analysis of Biomx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biomx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biomx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Biomx

The number of cover stories for Biomx depends on current market conditions and Biomx's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biomx is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biomx's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Biomx Short Properties

Biomx's future price predictability will typically decrease when Biomx's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biomx Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biomx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biomx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding691.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.8 M
When determining whether Biomx Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Biomx's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Biomx's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Biomx Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Biomx diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biomx. Anticipated expansion of Biomx directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Biomx data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(37.05)
Return On Assets
(0.48)
Return On Equity
(1.54)
Investors evaluate Biomx Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Biomx's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Biomx's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Biomx's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Biomx should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Biomx's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.