Biomx Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PHGE Stock | USD 5.72 1.33 18.87% |
Biomx Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Biomx stock prices and determine the direction of Biomx Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Biomx's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The RSI of Biomx's share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Biomx, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.34) | EPS Estimate Current Year (20.35) | EPS Estimate Next Year (12.23) | Wall Street Target Price 165 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.32) |
Using Biomx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biomx Inc from the perspective of Biomx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Biomx Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.23.Biomx Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Biomx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Biomx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Biomx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Biomx Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Biomx's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Biomx.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.23. Biomx after-hype prediction price | USD 5.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections. Biomx Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Biomx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biomx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biomx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Biomx Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Biomx Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 5.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Biomx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Biomx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Biomx Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Biomx | Biomx Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Biomx Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Biomx's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Biomx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 19.66, respectively. We have considered Biomx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Biomx stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Biomx stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0582 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3808 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0928 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.23 |
Predictive Modules for Biomx
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biomx Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Biomx After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Biomx at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biomx or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biomx, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Biomx Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Biomx's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biomx's historical news coverage. Biomx's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.29 and 19.68, respectively. We have considered Biomx's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Biomx is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biomx Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Biomx Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biomx is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biomx backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biomx, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 13.94 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.72 | 5.74 | 0.35 |
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Biomx Hype Timeline
Biomx Inc is at this time traded for 5.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Biomx is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Biomx is about 31681.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.72. Net Loss for the year was (17.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections.Biomx Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Biomx's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biomx's future price movements. Getting to know how Biomx's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biomx may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDSA | Edesa Biotech | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.14 | (8.21) | 21.29 | |
| MPLT | MapLight Therapeutics Common | 0.39 | 3 per month | 4.10 | 0.02 | 8.62 | (7.89) | 39.27 | |
| PMN | ProMIS Neurosciences | (0.09) | 7 per month | 5.49 | 0.05 | 12.12 | (7.69) | 38.10 | |
| ERNA | Eterna Therapeutics | (0.03) | 5 per month | 4.61 | 0.02 | 12.10 | (7.41) | 51.97 | |
| BRTX | BioRestorative Therapies | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.36 | (5.93) | 37.70 | |
| DWTX | Dogwood Therapeutics | 0.42 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.78 | (11.30) | 33.43 | |
| TRAW | Traws Pharma | (0.06) | 10 per month | 8.74 | 0.01 | 17.70 | (12.90) | 58.96 | |
| OSRH | OSR Holdings | (0.16) | 8 per month | 6.21 | 0.05 | 16.07 | (10.14) | 43.23 | |
| IMRN | Immuron Ltd ADR | (0.06) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.88 | (12.72) | 36.62 | |
| ADAP | Adaptimmune Therapeutics Plc | (0.01) | 6 per month | 15.04 | 0.03 | 22.82 | (18.18) | 168.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Biomx
For every potential investor in Biomx, whether a beginner or expert, Biomx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Biomx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Biomx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Biomx's price trends.Biomx Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Biomx stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Biomx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biomx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Biomx Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Biomx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Biomx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Biomx stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Biomx Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 47813.03 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.79) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.81 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.41) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.33) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.01 |
Biomx Risk Indicators
The analysis of Biomx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Biomx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting biomx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.25 | |||
| Variance | 175.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 131.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 127.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Biomx
The number of cover stories for Biomx depends on current market conditions and Biomx's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biomx is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biomx's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Biomx Short Properties
Biomx's future price predictability will typically decrease when Biomx's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biomx Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biomx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biomx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 691.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Biomx to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could Biomx diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Biomx. Anticipated expansion of Biomx directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Biomx data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Biomx Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Biomx's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Biomx's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Biomx's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Biomx should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Biomx's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.