Phunware Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PHUN Stock | USD 2.00 -0.02 -0.99% |
Phunware's Simple Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The Simple Moving Average model projects Phunware at 2.00 for the next trading day, at the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Moving Average model forecasts Phunware at 2.00 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 2.97 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Phunware's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Phunware | Phunware Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Phunware frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 0.02 and upside around 4.89 for the next session. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Simple Moving Average model's error metrics for Phunware stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.9287 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0048 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0503 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0266 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.965 |
Other Forecasting Options for Phunware
MACD analysis of Phunware tracks the relationship between two exponential moving averages of Phunware's price. Many Phunware's traders use Fibonacci levels to set entry and exit targets based on prior price swings. Average True Range measures the typical daily price swing for Phunware, accounting for gaps. The frequency and magnitude of gaps reveal how much new information is being priced into Phunware outside regular hours.Phunware Related Equities
These stocks are related to Phunware within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Growth rate gaps between Phunware and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Phunware Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Phunware quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Phunware. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Phunware through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
Phunware Risk Indicators
Analyzing Phunware's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Phunware helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Phunware's losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
| Mean Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.23 | |||
| Variance | 10.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Phunware Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Phunware is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.18 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 100.68 million |