Phunware Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PHUN Stock | USD 1.88 0.06 3.09% |
Phunware Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Phunware's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Phunware's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Phunware fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Phunware's share price is approaching 41 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Phunware, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.15) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.52) | Wall Street Target Price 3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.14) |
Using Phunware hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phunware from the perspective of Phunware response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Phunware using Phunware's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Phunware using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Phunware's stock price.
Phunware Implied Volatility | 1.76 |
Phunware's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Phunware stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Phunware's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Phunware stock will not fluctuate a lot when Phunware's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Phunware on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.62. Phunware after-hype prediction price | USD 1.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Phunware to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Phunware Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Phunware's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Phunware's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Phunware stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Phunware's open interest, investors have to compare it to Phunware's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Phunware is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Phunware. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Phunware Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Phunware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phunware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phunware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Phunware Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Phunware on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Phunware Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Phunware's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Phunware Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Phunware | Phunware Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Phunware Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Phunware's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Phunware's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.15, respectively. We have considered Phunware's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Phunware stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Phunware stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2973 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0155 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0613 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0304 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.615 |
Predictive Modules for Phunware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phunware. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phunware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Phunware After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Phunware at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phunware or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phunware, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Phunware Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Phunware's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phunware's historical news coverage. Phunware's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.19, respectively. We have considered Phunware's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Phunware is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phunware is based on 3 months time horizon.
Phunware Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phunware is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phunware backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phunware, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 3.27 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.88 | 1.92 | 2.13 |
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Phunware Hype Timeline
Phunware is at this time traded for 1.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Phunware is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Phunware is about 1143.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.01. Phunware currently holds 932 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.52, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Phunware to cross-verify your projections.Phunware Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Phunware's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phunware's future price movements. Getting to know how Phunware's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phunware may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KNRX | KNOREX LTD | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.77 | (10.20) | 41.01 | |
| BLBX | Blackboxstocks | (0.25) | 9 per month | 6.22 | 0.09 | 13.09 | (11.22) | 37.55 | |
| SURG | Surgepays | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.49 | (12.35) | 52.00 | |
| YXT | YXTCOM GROUP HOLDING | (0.07) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 41.05 | |
| SNCR | Synchronoss Technologies | (0.03) | 10 per month | 2.35 | 0.12 | 6.21 | (6.30) | 66.10 | |
| MFI | mF International Limited | 3.23 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.00 | (15.70) | 47.72 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | (0.11) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.10 | (5.95) | 14.94 | |
| WFCF | Where Food Comes | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.82 | (2.80) | 13.24 | |
| ODYS | Odysightai Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.61 | 0.15 | 14.13 | (6.42) | 25.92 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.23 | (5.42) | 11.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Phunware
For every potential investor in Phunware, whether a beginner or expert, Phunware's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Phunware Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Phunware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Phunware's price trends.Phunware Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Phunware stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Phunware could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phunware by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Phunware Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Phunware stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Phunware shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Phunware stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Phunware entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.98 |
Phunware Risk Indicators
The analysis of Phunware's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Phunware's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting phunware stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Variance | 10.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Phunware
The number of cover stories for Phunware depends on current market conditions and Phunware's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Phunware is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Phunware's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Phunware Short Properties
Phunware's future price predictability will typically decrease when Phunware's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Phunware often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Phunware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phunware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Phunware to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Phunware Stock, please use our How to Invest in Phunware guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Phunware diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phunware. Anticipated expansion of Phunware directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Phunware data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.52) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Phunware's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Phunware's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Phunware's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Phunware's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Phunware's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Phunware should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Phunware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.