PJT Partners Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PJT Stock | USD 178.83 2.78 1.53% |
PJT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of PJT Partners' share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PJT Partners, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.855 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.9452 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6239 | Wall Street Target Price 182.4 |
Using PJT Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PJT Partners from the perspective of PJT Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PJT Partners using PJT Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PJT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PJT Partners' stock price.
PJT Partners Short Interest
An investor who is long PJT Partners may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PJT Partners and may potentially protect profits, hedge PJT Partners with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 167.7143 | Short Percent 0.0906 | Short Ratio 7.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 172.9872 |
PJT Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PJT Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 179.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.74.PJT Partners Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PJT Partners' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PJT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PJT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PJT Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PJT Partners' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PJT Partners.
PJT Partners Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
PJT Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PJT Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PJT Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PJT Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when PJT Partners' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PJT Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 179.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.74. PJT Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 178.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PJT Partners to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PJT contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PJT Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With PJT Partners trading at USD 178.83, that is roughly USD 0.0481 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PJT Partners' daily price movement you should consider acquiring PJT Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 PJT Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PJT Partners' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PJT Partners' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PJT Partners stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PJT Partners' open interest, investors have to compare it to PJT Partners' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PJT Partners is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PJT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PJT Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PJT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PJT using various technical indicators. When you analyze PJT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the PJT Partners' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter 214.6 M | Current Value 400.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 96.1 M |
PJT Partners Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PJT Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 179.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.93, mean absolute percentage error of 12.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PJT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PJT Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PJT Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PJT Partners | PJT Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PJT Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PJT Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PJT Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 177.46 and 181.34, respectively. We have considered PJT Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PJT Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PJT Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6461 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.9301 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.017 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 178.7366 |
Predictive Modules for PJT Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PJT Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PJT Partners After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PJT Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PJT Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PJT Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PJT Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PJT Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PJT Partners' historical news coverage. PJT Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 176.69 and 180.97, respectively. We have considered PJT Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PJT Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PJT Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
PJT Partners Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PJT Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PJT Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PJT Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.94 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
178.83 | 178.83 | 0.00 |
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PJT Partners Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January PJT Partners is traded for 178.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. PJT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 58.08%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on PJT Partners is about 517.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 178.87. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.36. PJT Partners recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.55. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. The firm had 112:100 split on the June 24, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PJT Partners to cross-verify your projections.PJT Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PJT Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PJT Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how PJT Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PJT Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAZ | Lazard | 0.56 | 9 per month | 2.21 | (0) | 3.60 | (3.31) | 12.15 | |
| BGC | BGC Group | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.45 | (2.81) | 6.73 | |
| MC | Moelis Co | (1.75) | 10 per month | 2.13 | 0.03 | 3.36 | (3.84) | 9.78 | |
| SNEX | Stonex Group | 0.88 | 10 per month | 2.07 | 0.02 | 4.36 | (3.12) | 9.30 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | 0.38 | 7 per month | 1.24 | 0.02 | 3.31 | (1.59) | 8.15 | |
| MIAX | Miami International Holdings | 2.06 | 30 per month | 2.76 | 0 | 4.06 | (4.57) | 11.15 | |
| VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings | (0.13) | 33 per month | 1.29 | 0.02 | 2.26 | (2.06) | 5.64 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 1.04 | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 3.04 | (2.35) | 10.21 | |
| CADE | Cadence Bancorp | (0.09) | 11 per month | 1.52 | 0.09 | 3.62 | (2.24) | 10.35 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | 0.88 | 12 per month | 0.99 | (0.03) | 1.63 | (1.39) | 10.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for PJT Partners
For every potential investor in PJT, whether a beginner or expert, PJT Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PJT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PJT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PJT Partners' price trends.PJT Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PJT Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PJT Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PJT Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PJT Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PJT Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PJT Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PJT Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PJT Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 178.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 178.83 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.78) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.1 |
PJT Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of PJT Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PJT Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pjt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Variance | 4.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PJT Partners
The number of cover stories for PJT Partners depends on current market conditions and PJT Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PJT Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PJT Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PJT Partners Short Properties
PJT Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when PJT Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PJT Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PJT Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PJT Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 483.9 M |
Additional Tools for PJT Stock Analysis
When running PJT Partners' price analysis, check to measure PJT Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PJT Partners is operating at the current time. Most of PJT Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PJT Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PJT Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PJT Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.