Childrens Place Stock Forward View
| PLCE Stock | USD 3.95 0.12 2.95% |
Childrens Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Childrens Place stock prices and determine the direction of Childrens Place's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Childrens Place's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Childrens Place's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Childrens Place hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Childrens Place from the perspective of Childrens Place response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Childrens Place on the next trading day is expected to be 2.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.94. Childrens Place after-hype prediction price | USD 3.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Childrens | Build AI portfolio with Childrens Stock |
Childrens Place Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Childrens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Childrens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Childrens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Childrens Place Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Childrens Place on the next trading day is expected to be 2.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Childrens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Childrens Place's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Childrens Place Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Childrens Place | Childrens Place Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Childrens Place Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Childrens Place's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Childrens Place's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered Childrens Place's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Childrens Place stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Childrens Place stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2157 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.54 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0999 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.9415 |
Predictive Modules for Childrens Place
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Childrens Place. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Childrens Place's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Childrens Place After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Childrens Place at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Childrens Place or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Childrens Place, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Childrens Place Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Childrens Place's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Childrens Place's historical news coverage. Childrens Place's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 10.06, respectively. We have considered Childrens Place's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Childrens Place is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Childrens Place is based on 3 months time horizon.
Childrens Place Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Childrens Place is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Childrens Place backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Childrens Place, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.05 | 6.11 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.95 | 3.95 | 0.00 |
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Childrens Place Hype Timeline
Childrens Place is at this time traded for 3.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Childrens is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Childrens Place is about 32157.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.97. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.79. Childrens Place recorded a loss per share of 2.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Childrens Place to cross-verify your projections.Childrens Place Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Childrens Place's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Childrens Place's future price movements. Getting to know how Childrens Place's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Childrens Place may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAKE | Lakeland Industries | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.57 | (4.41) | 43.80 | |
| DBI | Designer Brands | 0.14 | 11 per month | 3.87 | 0.14 | 10.60 | (6.89) | 57.50 | |
| JILL | JJill Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.07 | 0.05 | 5.40 | (3.54) | 19.92 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.61 | (5.71) | 30.25 | |
| SGC | Superior Uniform Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.05 | 4.84 | (3.37) | 10.65 | |
| GDHG | Golden Heaven Group | (0.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.83 | (9.24) | 33.65 | |
| DIBS | 1StdibsCom | (0.09) | 11 per month | 2.23 | 0.16 | 6.97 | (4.17) | 23.12 | |
| CURV | Torrid Holdings | 0.06 | 7 per month | 5.10 | (0) | 11.30 | (9.35) | 34.61 | |
| AKA | AKA Brands Holding | 0.12 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.54 | (6.20) | 21.24 | |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.10 | (4.17) | 11.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Childrens Place
For every potential investor in Childrens, whether a beginner or expert, Childrens Place's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Childrens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Childrens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Childrens Place's price trends.Childrens Place Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Childrens Place stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Childrens Place could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Childrens Place by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Childrens Place Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Childrens Place stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Childrens Place shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Childrens Place stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Childrens Place entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19018.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.57) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Childrens Place Risk Indicators
The analysis of Childrens Place's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Childrens Place's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting childrens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.11 | |||
| Variance | 37.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Childrens Place
The number of cover stories for Childrens Place depends on current market conditions and Childrens Place's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Childrens Place is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Childrens Place's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Childrens Place Short Properties
Childrens Place's future price predictability will typically decrease when Childrens Place's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Childrens Place often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Childrens Place's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Childrens Place's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Childrens Place to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Childrens Stock refer to our How to Trade Childrens Stock guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Childrens diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Childrens Place. Anticipated expansion of Childrens directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Childrens Place data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Childrens Place requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Childrens's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Childrens Place's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Childrens Place's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Childrens Place's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Childrens Place should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Childrens Place's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.