Playtika Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PLTK Stock  USD 3.62  0.12  3.21%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Playtika Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.48. Playtika Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Playtika Holding's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Playtika Holding's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Playtika Holding fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Playtika Holding's share price is approaching 43 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Playtika Holding, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Playtika Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Playtika Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Playtika Holding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.007
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.23
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.655
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.91
Wall Street Target Price
5.9227
Using Playtika Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Playtika Holding Corp from the perspective of Playtika Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Playtika Holding using Playtika Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Playtika using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Playtika Holding's stock price.

Playtika Holding Short Interest

An investor who is long Playtika Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Playtika Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge Playtika Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.3105
Short Percent
0.1151
Short Ratio
8.81
Shares Short Prior Month
8.6 M
50 Day MA
4.0212

Playtika Holding Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Playtika Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Playtika. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Playtika can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Playtika Holding Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Playtika Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Playtika Holding.

Playtika Holding Implied Volatility

    
  0.84  
Playtika Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Playtika Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Playtika Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Playtika Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Playtika Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Playtika Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.48.

Playtika Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.75  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Playtika Holding to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is expected to rise to 408.96 this year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 15.58 this year. The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 318.7 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 208 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Playtika Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Playtika Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Playtika Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Playtika Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Playtika Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to Playtika Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Playtika Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Playtika. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Playtika Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Playtika price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Playtika using various technical indicators. When you analyze Playtika charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Playtika Holding Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Playtika Holding's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2019-12-31
Previous Quarter
500.9 M
Current Value
587.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
362.2 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Playtika Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Playtika Holding Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Playtika Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Playtika Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Playtika Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Playtika Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Playtika Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Playtika HoldingPlaytika Holding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Playtika Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Playtika Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Playtika Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.96 and 6.22, respectively. We have considered Playtika Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.62
3.59
Expected Value
6.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Playtika Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Playtika Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1275
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1062
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0273
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4777
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Playtika Holding Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Playtika Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Playtika Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Playtika Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Playtika Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.123.756.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.024.657.28
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.395.926.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Playtika Holding

For every potential investor in Playtika, whether a beginner or expert, Playtika Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Playtika Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Playtika. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Playtika Holding's price trends.

Playtika Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Playtika Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Playtika Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Playtika Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Playtika Holding Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Playtika Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Playtika Holding's current price.

Playtika Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Playtika Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Playtika Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Playtika Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Playtika Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Playtika Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Playtika Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Playtika Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting playtika stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Playtika Holding Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Playtika Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Playtika Holding Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Playtika Holding Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Playtika Holding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Playtika Holding. If investors know Playtika will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Playtika Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.007
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
0.24
Revenue Per Share
7.312
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.087
The market value of Playtika Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Playtika that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Playtika Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Playtika Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Playtika Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Playtika Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Playtika Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Playtika Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Playtika Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.