PNC Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PNC Stock | USD 220.75 1.36 0.62% |
PNC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PNC Financial stock prices and determine the direction of PNC Financial Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PNC Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of PNC Financial's stock price is about 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling PNC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.294 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.1049 | EPS Estimate Current Year 18.0379 | EPS Estimate Next Year 20.4396 | Wall Street Target Price 245.9318 |
Using PNC Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PNC Financial Services from the perspective of PNC Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PNC Financial using PNC Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PNC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PNC Financial's stock price.
PNC Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PNC Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PNC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PNC Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 189.7501 | Short Percent 0.018 | Short Ratio 4.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 204.453 |
PNC Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PNC Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 220.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.74.PNC Financial Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PNC Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PNC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PNC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PNC Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PNC Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PNC Financial.
PNC Financial Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
PNC Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PNC Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PNC Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PNC Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when PNC Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PNC Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 220.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.74. PNC Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 220.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PNC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PNC Financial Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.02% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PNC Financial trading at USD 220.75, that is roughly USD 0.0442 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PNC Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PNC Financial Services options at the current volatility level of 0.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PNC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PNC Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PNC Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PNC Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PNC Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to PNC Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PNC Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PNC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PNC Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze PNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PNC Financial Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PNC Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 220.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.86, mean absolute percentage error of 6.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PNC Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PNC Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PNC Financial | PNC Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PNC Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PNC Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PNC Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 219.54 and 221.96, respectively. We have considered PNC Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PNC Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PNC Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.945 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.6443 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.8646 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.74 |
Predictive Modules for PNC Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Financial Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PNC Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PNC Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PNC Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PNC Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PNC Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PNC Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PNC Financial's historical news coverage. PNC Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 219.54 and 221.96, respectively. We have considered PNC Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PNC Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PNC Financial Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
PNC Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PNC Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PNC Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PNC Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.21 | 0.63 | 0.28 | 6 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
220.75 | 220.75 | 0.00 |
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PNC Financial Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January PNC Financial Services is traded for 220.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.63, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.28. PNC is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 66.85%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on PNC Financial is about 153.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 221.03. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PNC Financial Services has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.6. The firm last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2026. PNC Financial had 2:1 split on the 16th of November 1992. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Financial to cross-verify your projections.PNC Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PNC Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PNC Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how PNC Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PNC Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFC | Truist Financial Corp | 2.19 | 5 per month | 0.66 | 0.14 | 1.80 | (1.17) | 5.12 | |
| KEY | KeyCorp | 0.52 | 7 per month | 0.79 | 0.18 | 2.76 | (1.44) | 5.63 | |
| WAL | Western Alliance Bancorporation | 1.27 | 6 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.88 | (2.96) | 10.08 | |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | 0.18 | 7 per month | 1.18 | 0.08 | 2.77 | (1.91) | 8.08 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | 0.53 | 7 per month | 0.83 | 0.15 | 2.52 | (1.35) | 6.01 | |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | 1.27 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.74 | (1.52) | 9.19 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | 1.17 | 10 per month | 0.88 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (1.80) | 9.61 | |
| RF | Regions Financial | (0.66) | 18 per month | 0.94 | 0.10 | 3.11 | (1.71) | 6.55 | |
| CMA | Comerica Incorporated | 1.17 | 4 per month | 0.91 | 0.16 | 2.60 | (1.37) | 9.13 | |
| HBAN | Huntington Bancshares Incorporated | 0.25 | 6 per month | 1.49 | 0.05 | 2.86 | (2.40) | 10.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for PNC Financial
For every potential investor in PNC, whether a beginner or expert, PNC Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PNC Financial's price trends.PNC Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PNC Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PNC Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PNC Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PNC Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PNC Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PNC Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PNC Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PNC Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PNC Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of PNC Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PNC Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pnc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.947 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5887 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.906 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3465 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PNC Financial
The number of cover stories for PNC Financial depends on current market conditions and PNC Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PNC Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PNC Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PNC Financial Short Properties
PNC Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when PNC Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PNC Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PNC Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PNC Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 394 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PNC Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PNC Financial. If investors know PNC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PNC Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.294 | Dividend Share 6.6 | Earnings Share 16.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
The market value of PNC Financial Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PNC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PNC Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PNC Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PNC Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PNC Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PNC Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PNC Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PNC Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.