PrimeEnergy Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PNRG Stock | USD 191.88 1.88 0.99% |
PrimeEnergy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of PrimeEnergy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of PrimeEnergy's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.49 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.57 | Wall Street Target Price 160 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.33) |
Using PrimeEnergy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PrimeEnergy from the perspective of PrimeEnergy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
PrimeEnergy Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PrimeEnergy on the next trading day is expected to be 186.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 585.88.PrimeEnergy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PrimeEnergy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PrimeEnergy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PrimeEnergy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PrimeEnergy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PrimeEnergy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PrimeEnergy.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PrimeEnergy on the next trading day is expected to be 186.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 585.88. PrimeEnergy after-hype prediction price | USD 190.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PrimeEnergy | Build AI portfolio with PrimeEnergy Stock |
PrimeEnergy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PrimeEnergy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PrimeEnergy using various technical indicators. When you analyze PrimeEnergy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PrimeEnergy Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PrimeEnergy on the next trading day is expected to be 186.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.60, mean absolute percentage error of 147.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 585.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PrimeEnergy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PrimeEnergy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PrimeEnergy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PrimeEnergy | PrimeEnergy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PrimeEnergy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PrimeEnergy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PrimeEnergy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 183.16 and 189.66, respectively. We have considered PrimeEnergy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PrimeEnergy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PrimeEnergy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.1038 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 9.6046 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0573 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 585.8803 |
Predictive Modules for PrimeEnergy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PrimeEnergy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PrimeEnergy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PrimeEnergy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PrimeEnergy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PrimeEnergy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PrimeEnergy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PrimeEnergy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PrimeEnergy's historical news coverage. PrimeEnergy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.87 and 193.37, respectively. We have considered PrimeEnergy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PrimeEnergy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PrimeEnergy is based on 3 months time horizon.
PrimeEnergy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PrimeEnergy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PrimeEnergy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PrimeEnergy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.25 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
191.88 | 190.12 | 0.06 |
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PrimeEnergy Hype Timeline
PrimeEnergy is at this time traded for 191.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. PrimeEnergy is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 190.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on PrimeEnergy is about 2321.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 191.81. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 233.89 M. Net Income was 55.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.65 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PrimeEnergy to cross-verify your projections.PrimeEnergy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PrimeEnergy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PrimeEnergy's future price movements. Getting to know how PrimeEnergy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PrimeEnergy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | (1.33) | 9 per month | 1.28 | 0.18 | 2.69 | (2.34) | 7.19 | |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 0.49 | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.10 | 3.16 | (2.59) | 8.97 | |
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 0.1 | 7 per month | 2.06 | 0.01 | 3.95 | (3.55) | 11.67 | |
| WDS | Woodside Energy Group | 0.04 | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.1 | 2.57 | (2.21) | 7.90 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | (1.21) | 11 per month | 1.14 | (0.04) | 1.95 | (1.78) | 4.89 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | 2.38 | 11 per month | 1.72 | 0.14 | 3.22 | (3.32) | 8.06 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.71 | 0.10 | 2.22 | (1.43) | 4.29 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | 0.42 | 13 per month | 0.72 | 0.30 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| EOG | EOG Resources | (2.08) | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 2.61 | (2.34) | 6.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for PrimeEnergy
For every potential investor in PrimeEnergy, whether a beginner or expert, PrimeEnergy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PrimeEnergy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PrimeEnergy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PrimeEnergy's price trends.PrimeEnergy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PrimeEnergy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PrimeEnergy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PrimeEnergy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PrimeEnergy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PrimeEnergy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PrimeEnergy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PrimeEnergy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PrimeEnergy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PrimeEnergy Risk Indicators
The analysis of PrimeEnergy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PrimeEnergy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primeenergy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Variance | 9.99 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PrimeEnergy
The number of cover stories for PrimeEnergy depends on current market conditions and PrimeEnergy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PrimeEnergy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PrimeEnergy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PrimeEnergy Short Properties
PrimeEnergy's future price predictability will typically decrease when PrimeEnergy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PrimeEnergy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PrimeEnergy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PrimeEnergy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PrimeEnergy to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PrimeEnergy Stock please use our How to Invest in PrimeEnergy guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Can Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry sustain growth momentum? Does PrimeEnergy have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PrimeEnergy. Anticipated expansion of PrimeEnergy directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating PrimeEnergy demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.50) | Earnings Share 10.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.33) | Return On Assets |
Understanding PrimeEnergy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects PrimeEnergy's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what PrimeEnergy's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push PrimeEnergy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between PrimeEnergy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PrimeEnergy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, PrimeEnergy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.