POET Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| POET Stock | USD 7.28 0.17 2.28% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of POET Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.28. POET Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of POET Technologies' share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling POET Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 6.9333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 79.986 |
Using POET Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of POET Technologies from the perspective of POET Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards POET Technologies using POET Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards POET using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of POET Technologies' stock price.
POET Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long POET Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about POET Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge POET Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.4112 | Short Percent 0.0937 | Short Ratio 1.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.3 M | 50 Day MA 5.964 |
POET Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to POET Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in POET. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding POET can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around POET Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of POET Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about POET Technologies.
POET Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.04 |
POET Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of POET Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if POET Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that POET Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when POET Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of POET Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.28.
POET Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 7.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of POET Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 POET Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast POET Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in POET Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for POET Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current POET Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to POET Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of POET Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in POET. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
POET Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine POET price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for POET using various technical indicators. When you analyze POET charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the POET Technologies' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-03-31 | Previous Quarter 12.4 M | Current Value 13.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 7.8 M |
POET Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of POET Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 7.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict POET Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that POET Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
POET Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest POET Technologies | POET Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
POET Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting POET Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. POET Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.49 and 14.46, respectively. We have considered POET Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of POET Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent POET Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5325 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4077 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.2798 |
Predictive Modules for POET Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POET Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of POET Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for POET Technologies
For every potential investor in POET, whether a beginner or expert, POET Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. POET Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in POET. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying POET Technologies' price trends.POET Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with POET Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of POET Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing POET Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
POET Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of POET Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of POET Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
POET Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how POET Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading POET Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying POET Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify POET Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 280358.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.42) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.09 |
POET Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of POET Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in POET Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting poet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.91 | |||
| Variance | 62.5 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for POET Stock Analysis
When running POET Technologies' price analysis, check to measure POET Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy POET Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of POET Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of POET Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move POET Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of POET Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.