Poet Technologies Stock Price Patterns
| POET Stock | USD 5.87 0.69 13.32% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.19) | Wall Street Target Price 6.9333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 79.986 |
Using POET Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of POET Technologies from the perspective of POET Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards POET Technologies using POET Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards POET using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of POET Technologies' stock price.
POET Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long POET Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about POET Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge POET Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.7296 | Short Percent 0.0712 | Short Ratio 1.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.4 M | 50 Day MA 6.5676 |
POET Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to POET Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in POET. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding POET can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around POET Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of POET Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about POET Technologies.
POET Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
POET Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of POET Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if POET Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that POET Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when POET Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in POET Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying POET because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
POET Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 5.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current POET contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that POET Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With POET Technologies trading at USD 5.87, that is roughly USD 0.004806 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating POET Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring POET Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out POET Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of POET Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
POET Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of POET Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in POET Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of POET Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
POET Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting POET Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on POET Technologies' historical news coverage. POET Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.29 and 12.83, respectively. We have considered POET Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
POET Technologies is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of POET Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
POET Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as POET Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading POET Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with POET Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 7.02 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.87 | 5.81 | 1.02 |
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POET Technologies Hype Timeline
POET Technologies is at this time traded for 5.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. POET is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on POET Technologies is about 4081.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.80. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.71. POET Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 28th of February 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out POET Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.POET Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to POET Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict POET Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how POET Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how POET Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | (1.46) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.02 | (7.83) | 22.07 | |
| AIP | Arteris | (0.73) | 9 per month | 4.42 | 0.05 | 7.11 | (4.72) | 43.24 | |
| AMBQ | Ambiq Micro | (0.16) | 18 per month | 3.77 | 0 | 6.03 | (6.56) | 18.62 | |
| SPT | Sprout Social | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.85 | (6.55) | 15.22 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.71 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 7.88 | (10.64) | 25.62 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.85 | (6.25) | 33.83 | |
| CEVA | CEVA Inc | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.64 | (6.60) | 19.14 | |
| DOMO | Domo Inc | (0.59) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 5.81 | (8.37) | 28.62 | |
| CAN | Canaan Inc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 11.59 | (10.19) | 34.97 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.38 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.73 | (5.02) | 31.29 |
POET Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine POET price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for POET using various technical indicators. When you analyze POET charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About POET Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of POET Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as POET Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of POET Technologies based on analysis of POET Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to POET Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to POET Technologies's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 44.82 | 63.9 | 57.51 | 54.63 | PTB Ratio | 7.61 | 17.33 | 19.93 | 27.82 |
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Additional Tools for POET Stock Analysis
When running POET Technologies' price analysis, check to measure POET Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy POET Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of POET Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of POET Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move POET Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of POET Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.