Powell Industries Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| POWL Stock | USD 423.44 5.49 1.31% |
Powell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Powell Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Powell Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Powell Industries fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Powell Industries' stock price is about 60 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Powell, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.9 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.4275 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.7567 | Wall Street Target Price 416.3333 |
Using Powell Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Powell Industries from the perspective of Powell Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Powell Industries using Powell Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Powell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Powell Industries' stock price.
Powell Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Powell Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Powell Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Powell Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 270.3223 | Short Percent 0.1744 | Short Ratio 8.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 347.2938 |
Powell Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Powell Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 447.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 784.20.Powell Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Powell Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Powell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Powell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Powell Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Powell Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Powell Industries.
Powell Industries Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
Powell Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Powell Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Powell Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Powell Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Powell Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Powell Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 447.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 784.20. Powell Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 423.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Powell Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Powell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Powell Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Powell Industries trading at USD 423.44, that is roughly USD 0.17 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Powell Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Powell Industries options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Powell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Powell Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Powell Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Powell Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Powell Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Powell Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Powell Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Powell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Powell Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Powell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Powell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Powell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Powell Industries Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Powell Industries' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 398.5 M | Current Value 450.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 86.4 M |
Powell Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Powell Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 447.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.86, mean absolute percentage error of 277.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 784.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Powell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Powell Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Powell Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Powell Industries | Powell Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Powell Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Powell Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Powell Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 443.74 and 451.04, respectively. We have considered Powell Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Powell Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Powell Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.7352 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 12.8557 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 784.2002 |
Predictive Modules for Powell Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Powell Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Powell Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Powell Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Powell Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Powell Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Powell Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Powell Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Powell Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Powell Industries' historical news coverage. Powell Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 419.74 and 427.14, respectively. We have considered Powell Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Powell Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Powell Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Powell Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Powell Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Powell Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Powell Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 3.65 | 1.23 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
423.44 | 423.44 | 0.00 |
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Powell Industries Hype Timeline
Powell Industries is at this time traded for 423.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Powell is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 38.62%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Powell Industries is about 1271.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 423.48. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. Powell Industries recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Powell Industries to cross-verify your projections.Powell Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Powell Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Powell Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Powell Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Powell Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENS | Enersys | 5.91 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.28 | 3.04 | (2.86) | 7.13 | |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group | (0.71) | 9 per month | 3.72 | (0) | 5.40 | (5.73) | 20.64 | |
| BCO | Brinks Company | (1.37) | 11 per month | 1.36 | 0.04 | 3.11 | (2.28) | 10.50 | |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct | (0.30) | 5 per month | 1.74 | (0.03) | 3.10 | (3.15) | 10.04 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.10) | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.01 | 2.91 | (2.18) | 14.48 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | (0.59) | 12 per month | 0.86 | 0.1 | 2.34 | (1.74) | 5.83 | |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group | 0.63 | 7 per month | 2.63 | (0.01) | 4.46 | (4.30) | 11.23 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | 1.00 | 13 per month | 5.71 | 0.02 | 11.94 | (9.57) | 31.35 | |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del | (0.82) | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.14 | 4.87 | (1.92) | 10.36 | |
| MMS | Maximus | (0.78) | 4 per month | 0.94 | 0.07 | 3.42 | (1.91) | 7.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Powell Industries
For every potential investor in Powell, whether a beginner or expert, Powell Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Powell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Powell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Powell Industries' price trends.Powell Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Powell Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Powell Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Powell Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Powell Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Powell Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Powell Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Powell Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Powell Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Powell Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Powell Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Powell Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting powell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.73 | |||
| Variance | 13.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Powell Industries
The number of cover stories for Powell Industries depends on current market conditions and Powell Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Powell Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Powell Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Powell Industries Short Properties
Powell Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Powell Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Powell Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Powell Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Powell Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 475.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Powell Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Powell Stock please use our How to buy in Powell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Powell Industries. If investors know Powell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Powell Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | Dividend Share 1.068 | Earnings Share 14.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.083 |
The market value of Powell Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Powell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Powell Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Powell Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Powell Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Powell Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Powell Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Powell Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Powell Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.