Perrigo Company Stock Forward View
| PRGO Stock | USD 14.71 0.57 4.03% |
Perrigo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Perrigo Company's share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perrigo Company, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Perrigo Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perrigo Company PLC from the perspective of Perrigo Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perrigo Company PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 13.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.56. Perrigo Company after-hype prediction price | USD 14.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perrigo Company to cross-verify your projections. Perrigo Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perrigo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perrigo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perrigo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perrigo Company Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perrigo Company PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 13.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perrigo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perrigo Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perrigo Company Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perrigo Company | Perrigo Company Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Perrigo Company Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perrigo Company's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perrigo Company's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.58 and 15.69, respectively. We have considered Perrigo Company's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perrigo Company stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perrigo Company stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2815 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3206 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.5566 |
Predictive Modules for Perrigo Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perrigo Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perrigo Company After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perrigo Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perrigo Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perrigo Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perrigo Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perrigo Company's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perrigo Company's historical news coverage. Perrigo Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.15 and 16.13, respectively. We have considered Perrigo Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perrigo Company is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perrigo Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perrigo Company Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perrigo Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perrigo Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perrigo Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.71 | 14.14 | 0.00 |
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Perrigo Company Hype Timeline
Perrigo Company is at this time traded for 14.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Perrigo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perrigo Company is about 1024.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.72. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Perrigo Company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.14. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Perrigo Company had 2:1 split on the 26th of August 1993. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perrigo Company to cross-verify your projections.Perrigo Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perrigo Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perrigo Company's future price movements. Getting to know how Perrigo Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perrigo Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HCM | HUTCHMED DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.71 | (2.69) | 9.55 | |
| BHC | Bausch Health Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.68 | (4.63) | 21.07 | |
| SUPN | Supernus Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.01 | 2.20 | (2.65) | 7.44 | |
| HTFL | Heartflow Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.49 | (6.60) | 19.49 | |
| ATEC | Alphatec Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.48 | (4.74) | 28.16 | |
| LIVN | LivaNova PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.19 | 4.27 | (1.99) | 12.50 | |
| TARS | Tarsus Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.78 | (3.76) | 12.48 | |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.53 | (4.17) | 25.40 | |
| SRRK | Scholar Rock Holding | 2.01 | 10 per month | 2.44 | 0.17 | 5.92 | (4.21) | 31.68 | |
| FOLD | Amicus Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 3.45 | (0.90) | 30.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perrigo Company
For every potential investor in Perrigo, whether a beginner or expert, Perrigo Company's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perrigo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perrigo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perrigo Company's price trends.Perrigo Company Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perrigo Company stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perrigo Company could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perrigo Company by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perrigo Company Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perrigo Company stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perrigo Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perrigo Company stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perrigo Company PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Perrigo Company Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perrigo Company's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perrigo Company's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perrigo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perrigo Company
The number of cover stories for Perrigo Company depends on current market conditions and Perrigo Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perrigo Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perrigo Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perrigo Company Short Properties
Perrigo Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perrigo Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perrigo Company PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perrigo Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perrigo Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 137.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 558.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perrigo Company to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Pharmaceuticals sector continue expanding? Could Perrigo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perrigo Company. Anticipated expansion of Perrigo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Perrigo Company data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Perrigo Company using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Perrigo Company's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Perrigo Company's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Perrigo Company's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Perrigo Company should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Perrigo Company's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.