Prodea Real Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PRODEA Stock | EUR 5.80 0.05 0.85% |
Prodea Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Prodea Real stock prices and determine the direction of Prodea Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Prodea Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Prodea Real's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prodea Real, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Prodea Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prodea Real Estate from the perspective of Prodea Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prodea Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.80. Prodea Real after-hype prediction price | EUR 5.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prodea |
Prodea Real Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prodea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prodea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prodea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prodea Real Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prodea Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prodea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prodea Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prodea Real Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prodea Real | Prodea Real Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Prodea Real Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prodea Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prodea Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.19 and 7.61, respectively. We have considered Prodea Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prodea Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prodea Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8457 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0613 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0105 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.8035 |
Predictive Modules for Prodea Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prodea Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prodea Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Prodea Real After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prodea Real at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prodea Real or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prodea Real, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prodea Real Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prodea Real's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prodea Real's historical news coverage. Prodea Real's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.09 and 7.51, respectively. We have considered Prodea Real's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prodea Real is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prodea Real Estate is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prodea Real Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prodea Real is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prodea Real backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prodea Real, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.80 | 5.80 | 0.00 |
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Prodea Real Hype Timeline
Prodea Real Estate is at this time traded for 5.80on Athens Exchange of Greece. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Prodea is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prodea Real is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.80. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Prodea Real Estate last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prodea Real to cross-verify your projections.Prodea Real Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prodea Real's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prodea Real's future price movements. Getting to know how Prodea Real's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prodea Real may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRODEA | Prodea Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 2.61 | (3.33) | 8.10 | |
| PANGAEA | Prodea Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HKRAN | Chatzikraniotis Sons Mills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KYRI | Kiriacoulis Mediterranean Cruises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VARG | Varangis Avepe SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PPA | Piraeus Port Authority | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.78 | (2.44) | 6.13 | |
| INLIF | Interlife General Insurance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.16 | 4.17 | (2.15) | 7.51 | |
| TELL | Bank of Greece | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | 0.16 | 1.58 | (1.00) | 4.64 | |
| PLAT | Thrace Plastics Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | 0.04 | 2.05 | (1.59) | 7.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prodea Real
For every potential investor in Prodea, whether a beginner or expert, Prodea Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prodea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prodea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prodea Real's price trends.Prodea Real Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prodea Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prodea Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prodea Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prodea Real Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prodea Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prodea Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prodea Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prodea Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Prodea Real Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prodea Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prodea Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prodea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prodea Real
The number of cover stories for Prodea Real depends on current market conditions and Prodea Real's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prodea Real is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prodea Real's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prodea Real Short Properties
Prodea Real's future price predictability will typically decrease when Prodea Real's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prodea Real Estate often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prodea Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prodea Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 255.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 82.7 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 203.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in Prodea Stock
Prodea Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prodea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prodea with respect to the benefits of owning Prodea Real security.