Priority Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PRTH Stock | USD 6.03 0.04 0.67% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Priority Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.83. Priority Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Priority Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Priority Technology's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.857 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2975 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0825 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2075 | Wall Street Target Price 10.2 |
Using Priority Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Priority Technology Holdings from the perspective of Priority Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Priority Technology using Priority Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Priority using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Priority Technology's stock price.
Priority Technology Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Priority Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Priority Technology Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Priority Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Priority Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Priority Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Priority Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.83. Priority Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 6.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Priority Technology to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Priority Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Priority Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Priority Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Priority Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Priority Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Priority Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Priority Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Priority. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Priority Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Priority price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Priority using various technical indicators. When you analyze Priority charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Priority Technology Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Priority Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Priority Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Priority Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Priority Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Priority Technology | Priority Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Priority Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Priority Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Priority Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.98 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered Priority Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Priority Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Priority Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9872 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0291 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1638 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.8278 |
Predictive Modules for Priority Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Priority Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Priority Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Priority Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Priority Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Priority Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Priority Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Priority Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Priority Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Priority Technology's historical news coverage. Priority Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.29 and 11.39, respectively. We have considered Priority Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Priority Technology is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Priority Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Priority Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Priority Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Priority Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Priority Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 5.05 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 3 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.03 | 6.34 | 5.14 |
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Priority Technology Hype Timeline
Priority Technology is at this time traded for 6.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.31. Priority is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 5.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Priority Technology is about 324.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.72. Priority Technology Holdings currently holds about 22.16 M in cash with 85.61 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Priority Technology to cross-verify your projections.Priority Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Priority Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Priority Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Priority Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Priority Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.56 | (5.06) | 20.98 | |
| DAVA | Endava | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.08 | (4.51) | 34.91 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | 0.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.46 | (6.25) | 42.64 | |
| CINT | CiT Inc | 0.1 | 10 per month | 2.70 | 0.04 | 5.51 | (4.74) | 12.99 | |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corp | (18.47) | 12 per month | 3.21 | 0.19 | 7.60 | (4.37) | 21.24 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 1.56 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.14 | (9.81) | 25.37 | |
| OSPN | OneSpan | (0.60) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.52 | (4.97) | 30.02 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | 1.56 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.28 | (5.36) | 13.98 | |
| DOMO | Domo Inc | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.02 | (8.19) | 28.62 | |
| BAND | Bandwidth | (0.02) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.66 | (3.75) | 12.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Priority Technology
For every potential investor in Priority, whether a beginner or expert, Priority Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Priority Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Priority. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Priority Technology's price trends.Priority Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Priority Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Priority Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Priority Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Priority Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Priority Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Priority Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Priority Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Priority Technology Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Priority Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Priority Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Priority Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting priority stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.95 | |||
| Variance | 24.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Priority Technology
The number of cover stories for Priority Technology depends on current market conditions and Priority Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Priority Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Priority Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Priority Technology Short Properties
Priority Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Priority Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Priority Technology Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Priority Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Priority Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Priority Technology to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Transaction & Payment Processing Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Priority Technology. If investors know Priority will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Priority Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.857 | Earnings Share 0.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Priority Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Priority that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Priority Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Priority Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Priority Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Priority Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Priority Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Priority Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Priority Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.