Public Storage Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PSA Stock | USD 282.63 3.95 1.38% |
Public Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Public Storage stock prices and determine the direction of Public Storage's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Public Storage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Public Storage's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Public Storage, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.213 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.5051 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.1411 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.13 | Wall Street Target Price 311.3684 |
Using Public Storage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Public Storage from the perspective of Public Storage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Public Storage using Public Storage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Public using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Public Storage's stock price.
Public Storage Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Public Storage's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Public. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Public Storage stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 286.8083 | Short Percent 0.0297 | Short Ratio 3.3 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 271.78 |
Public Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Public Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 280.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.91.Public Storage Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Public Storage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Public. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Public can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Public Storage. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Public Storage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Public Storage.
Public Storage Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Public Storage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Public Storage stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Public Storage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Public Storage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Public Storage's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Public Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 280.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.91. Public Storage after-hype prediction price | USD 282.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Public Storage to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Public contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Public Storage will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Public Storage trading at USD 282.63, that is roughly USD 0.0742 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Public Storage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Public Storage options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Public Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Public Storage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Public Storage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Public Storage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Public Storage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Public Storage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Public Storage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Public. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Public Storage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Public price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Public using various technical indicators. When you analyze Public charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Public Storage Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Public Storage's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1994-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.1 B | Current Value 296.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 279.5 M |
Public Storage Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Public Storage on the next trading day is expected to be 280.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36, mean absolute percentage error of 18.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Public Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Public Storage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Public Storage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Public Storage | Public Storage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Public Storage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Public Storage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Public Storage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 278.80 and 281.72, respectively. We have considered Public Storage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Public Storage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Public Storage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.029 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3592 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 204.9104 |
Predictive Modules for Public Storage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Public Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Public Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Public Storage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Public Storage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Public Storage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Public Storage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Public Storage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Public Storage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Public Storage's historical news coverage. Public Storage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 281.18 and 284.08, respectively. We have considered Public Storage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Public Storage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Public Storage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Public Storage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Public Storage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Public Storage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Public Storage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.46 | 0.43 | 0.10 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
282.63 | 282.63 | 0.00 |
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Public Storage Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Public Storage is traded for 282.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Public is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 20.56%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Public Storage is about 89.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 282.73. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.64. Public Storage last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The entity had 1:1 split on the 14th of August 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Public Storage to cross-verify your projections.Public Storage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Public Storage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Public Storage's future price movements. Getting to know how Public Storage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Public Storage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXR | Extra Space Storage | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.50 | (2.01) | 5.93 | |
| O | Realty Income | 1.02 | 10 per month | 1.15 | (0.05) | 1.38 | (1.72) | 4.21 | |
| SPG | Simon Property Group | 0.21 | 23 per month | 0.75 | (0) | 1.59 | (1.60) | 5.19 | |
| CBRE | CBRE Group Class | 0.49 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.01 | 2.63 | (2.77) | 7.23 | |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust | 3.09 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.22 | (2.77) | 6.20 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | 7.32 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.14 | (3.04) | 7.08 | |
| REXR | Rexford Industrial Realty | (0.59) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.08 | (1.96) | 6.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Public Storage
For every potential investor in Public, whether a beginner or expert, Public Storage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Public Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Public. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Public Storage's price trends.Public Storage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Public Storage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Public Storage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Public Storage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Public Storage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Public Storage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Public Storage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Public Storage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Public Storage entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Public Storage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Public Storage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Public Storage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting public stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Public Storage
The number of cover stories for Public Storage depends on current market conditions and Public Storage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Public Storage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Public Storage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Public Storage Short Properties
Public Storage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Public Storage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Public Storage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Public Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Public Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 447.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Public Storage to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Public Stock refer to our How to Trade Public Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Self-Storage REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Public Storage. If investors know Public will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Public Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.213 | Dividend Share 12 | Earnings Share 9.64 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of Public Storage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Public that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Public Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Public Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Public Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Public Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Public Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Public Storage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Public Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.