Paysafe Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PSFE Stock | USD 6.86 0.06 0.87% |
Paysafe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Paysafe stock prices and determine the direction of Paysafe's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Paysafe's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Paysafe's share price is approaching 35 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Paysafe, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.889 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8592 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2904 | Wall Street Target Price 8.9 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.7203 |
Using Paysafe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paysafe from the perspective of Paysafe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Paysafe using Paysafe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Paysafe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Paysafe's stock price.
Paysafe Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Paysafe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Paysafe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Paysafe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Paysafe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Paysafe's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paysafe on the next trading day is expected to be 6.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.98. Paysafe after-hype prediction price | USD 6.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paysafe to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Paysafe contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Paysafe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Paysafe trading at USD 6.86, that is roughly USD 0.004631 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Paysafe's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Paysafe options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Paysafe Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Paysafe's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Paysafe's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Paysafe stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Paysafe's open interest, investors have to compare it to Paysafe's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Paysafe is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Paysafe. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Paysafe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paysafe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paysafe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paysafe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Paysafe Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paysafe on the next trading day is expected to be 6.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paysafe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paysafe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Paysafe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Paysafe | Paysafe Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Paysafe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Paysafe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Paysafe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.16 and 11.56, respectively. We have considered Paysafe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paysafe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paysafe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6103 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0623 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.233 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0301 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.98 |
Predictive Modules for Paysafe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paysafe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Paysafe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Paysafe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Paysafe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Paysafe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Paysafe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Paysafe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Paysafe's historical news coverage. Paysafe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.19 and 11.59, respectively. We have considered Paysafe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Paysafe is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Paysafe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Paysafe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Paysafe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paysafe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Paysafe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 4.70 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.86 | 6.89 | 0.44 |
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Paysafe Hype Timeline
Paysafe is at this time traded for 6.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Paysafe is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Paysafe is about 3405.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.94. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.7 B. Net Income was 22.16 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 952.23 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paysafe to cross-verify your projections.Paysafe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Paysafe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Paysafe's future price movements. Getting to know how Paysafe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Paysafe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PHLT | Performant Healthcare | 0.15 | 26 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.55 | (1.99) | 115.74 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.71 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 7.11 | (9.81) | 21.99 | |
| TLS | Telos Corp | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.84 | (5.45) | 37.35 | |
| SPT | Sprout Social | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.85 | (5.32) | 15.22 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | 0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.85 | (6.25) | 36.91 | |
| WOLF | Wolfspeed | 0.66 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 9.02 | (7.90) | 22.22 | |
| POET | POET Technologies | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.24 | (9.85) | 45.50 | |
| CTLP | Cantaloupe | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.29 | (0.05) | 0.76 | (0.56) | 2.92 | |
| AIOT | PowerFleet | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.91 | (4.03) | 13.44 | |
| APPS | Digital Turbine | 0.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.03 | (6.46) | 37.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Paysafe
For every potential investor in Paysafe, whether a beginner or expert, Paysafe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paysafe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paysafe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paysafe's price trends.Paysafe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paysafe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paysafe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paysafe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Paysafe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paysafe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paysafe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paysafe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paysafe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Paysafe Risk Indicators
The analysis of Paysafe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paysafe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paysafe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Variance | 21.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Paysafe
The number of cover stories for Paysafe depends on current market conditions and Paysafe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Paysafe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Paysafe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Paysafe Short Properties
Paysafe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Paysafe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Paysafe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Paysafe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paysafe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paysafe to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Paysafe Stock refer to our How to Trade Paysafe Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Internet Services & Infrastructure sector continue expanding? Could Paysafe diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paysafe. Anticipated expansion of Paysafe directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Paysafe data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (2.10) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Paysafe using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Paysafe's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Paysafe's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Paysafe's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Paysafe should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Paysafe's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.