Paysafe Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

PSFE Stock  USD 17.58  0.08  0.46%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paysafe on the next trading day is expected to be 17.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.92. Paysafe Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Paysafe stock prices and determine the direction of Paysafe's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Paysafe's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Paysafe's Receivables Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 66.6 M, whereas Net Loss is projected to grow to (1.6 B).
Triple exponential smoothing for Paysafe - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Paysafe prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Paysafe price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Paysafe.

Paysafe Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Paysafe on the next trading day is expected to be 17.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Paysafe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Paysafe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Paysafe Stock Forecast Pattern

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Paysafe Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Paysafe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Paysafe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.51 and 21.19, respectively. We have considered Paysafe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17.58
17.35
Expected Value
21.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Paysafe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Paysafe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1068
MADMean absolute deviation0.524
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0249
SAESum of the absolute errors30.9173
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Paysafe observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Paysafe observations.

Predictive Modules for Paysafe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paysafe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9517.7921.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.8222.7026.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.4817.5517.63
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.5525.8828.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Paysafe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Paysafe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Paysafe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Paysafe.

Other Forecasting Options for Paysafe

For every potential investor in Paysafe, whether a beginner or expert, Paysafe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Paysafe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Paysafe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Paysafe's price trends.

Paysafe Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Paysafe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Paysafe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paysafe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Paysafe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Paysafe's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Paysafe's current price.

Paysafe Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Paysafe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Paysafe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Paysafe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Paysafe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Paysafe Risk Indicators

The analysis of Paysafe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Paysafe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paysafe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Paysafe is a strong investment it is important to analyze Paysafe's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Paysafe's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Paysafe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Paysafe to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Paysafe Stock refer to our How to Trade Paysafe Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paysafe. If investors know Paysafe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paysafe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.39)
Revenue Per Share
27.762
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.077
Return On Assets
0.0188
Return On Equity
(0.03)
The market value of Paysafe is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paysafe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paysafe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paysafe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paysafe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paysafe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paysafe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paysafe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paysafe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.