Power Solutions Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PSIX Stock | USD 78.82 1.16 1.49% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power Solutions International on the next trading day is expected to be 93.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 199.28. Power Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Power Solutions' share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Power Solutions, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.599 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.63 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.46 | Wall Street Target Price 110.17 |
Using Power Solutions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Power Solutions International from the perspective of Power Solutions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Power Solutions using Power Solutions' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Power using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Power Solutions' stock price.
Power Solutions Short Interest
An investor who is long Power Solutions may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Power Solutions and may potentially protect profits, hedge Power Solutions with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.8934 | Short Percent 0.1603 | Short Ratio 3.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 62.82 |
Power Solutions Inte Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Power Solutions' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Power. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Power can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Power Solutions International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Power Solutions Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Power Solutions' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Power Solutions International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Power Solutions' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Power Solutions stock will not fluctuate a lot when Power Solutions' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power Solutions International on the next trading day is expected to be 93.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 199.28. Power Solutions after-hype prediction price | USD 78.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Power Solutions to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Power contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Power Solutions International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Power Solutions trading at USD 78.82, that is roughly USD 0.0419 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Power Solutions' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Power Solutions International options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Power Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Power Solutions' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Power Solutions' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Power Solutions stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Power Solutions' open interest, investors have to compare it to Power Solutions' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Power Solutions is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Power. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Power Solutions Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Power price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Power using various technical indicators. When you analyze Power charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Power Solutions' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-12-31 | Previous Quarter 49.5 M | Current Value 49 M | Quarterly Volatility 14.9 M |
Power Solutions Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Power Solutions International on the next trading day is expected to be 93.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.27, mean absolute percentage error of 16.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 199.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Power Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Power Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Power Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Power Solutions | Power Solutions Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Power Solutions Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Power Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Power Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 88.30 and 98.56, respectively. We have considered Power Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Power Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Power Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.9191 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2669 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0486 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 199.2819 |
Predictive Modules for Power Solutions
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Solutions Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Power Solutions After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Power Solutions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Power Solutions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Power Solutions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Power Solutions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Power Solutions' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Power Solutions' historical news coverage. Power Solutions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.69 and 83.95, respectively. We have considered Power Solutions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Power Solutions is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Power Solutions Inte is based on 3 months time horizon.
Power Solutions Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Power Solutions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Power Solutions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Power Solutions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 5.13 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.82 | 78.82 | 0.00 |
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Power Solutions Hype Timeline
Power Solutions Inte is at this time traded for 78.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Power is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Power Solutions is about 1588.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.83. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.26. Power Solutions Inte had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:32 split on the 20th of September 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Power Solutions to cross-verify your projections.Power Solutions Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Power Solutions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Power Solutions' future price movements. Getting to know how Power Solutions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Power Solutions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.03 | (0.05) | 3.65 | (2.53) | 12.80 | |
| ALG | Alamo Group | 2.52 | 5 per month | 1.42 | (0.03) | 2.47 | (2.08) | 8.89 | |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.1 | 3.90 | (3.06) | 9.43 | |
| NNE | Nano Nuclear Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.36 | (8.88) | 20.07 | |
| SBLK | Star Bulk Carriers | (5.51) | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.14 | 3.15 | (2.54) | 9.64 | |
| ENOV | Enovis Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.13 | (5.64) | 17.04 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.61 | 0.03 | 4.42 | (3.76) | 18.99 | |
| CYD | China Yuchai International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.08 | 5.03 | (4.61) | 13.57 | |
| HI | Hillenbrand | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.25 | (0.19) | 0.89 | |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | 6.22 | 2 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 3.57 | (2.78) | 8.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Power Solutions
For every potential investor in Power, whether a beginner or expert, Power Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Power Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Power. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Power Solutions' price trends.Power Solutions Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Power Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Power Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Power Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Power Solutions Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Power Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Power Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Power Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Power Solutions International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Power Solutions Risk Indicators
The analysis of Power Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Power Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting power stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.04 | |||
| Variance | 25.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Power Solutions
The number of cover stories for Power Solutions depends on current market conditions and Power Solutions' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Power Solutions is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Power Solutions' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Power Solutions Short Properties
Power Solutions' future price predictability will typically decrease when Power Solutions' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Power Solutions International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Power Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.3 M |
Additional Tools for Power Stock Analysis
When running Power Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Power Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Power Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Power Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Power Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Power Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Power Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.