Postal Realty Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PSTL Stock | USD 17.96 0.24 1.35% |
Postal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Postal Realty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Postal Realty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Postal Realty fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Postal Realty's share price is above 70 as of now indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Postal, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.241 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0986 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4913 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.472 | Wall Street Target Price 18.5 |
Using Postal Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Postal Realty Trust from the perspective of Postal Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Postal Realty using Postal Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Postal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Postal Realty's stock price.
Postal Realty Short Interest
An investor who is long Postal Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Postal Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Postal Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.9626 | Short Percent 0.0138 | Short Ratio 1.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 215.9 K | 50 Day MA 16.031 |
Postal Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Postal Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.65.Postal Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Postal Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Postal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Postal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Postal Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Postal Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Postal Realty.
Postal Realty Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Postal Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Postal Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Postal Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Postal Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Postal Realty's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Postal Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.65. Postal Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 17.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Postal Realty to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Postal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Postal Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Postal Realty trading at USD 17.96, that is roughly USD 0.009092 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Postal Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Postal Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Postal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Postal Realty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Postal Realty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Postal Realty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Postal Realty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Postal Realty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Postal Realty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Postal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Postal Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Postal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Postal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Postal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Postal Realty Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Postal Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 17.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Postal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Postal Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Postal Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Postal Realty | Postal Realty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Postal Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Postal Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Postal Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.25 and 18.38, respectively. We have considered Postal Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Postal Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Postal Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3158 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3815 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0238 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.653 |
Predictive Modules for Postal Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Postal Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Postal Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Postal Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Postal Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Postal Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Postal Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Postal Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Postal Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Postal Realty's historical news coverage. Postal Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.90 and 19.02, respectively. We have considered Postal Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Postal Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Postal Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Postal Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Postal Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Postal Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Postal Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.06 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.96 | 17.96 | 0.00 |
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Postal Realty Hype Timeline
Postal Realty Trust is at this time traded for 17.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Postal is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Postal Realty is about 3925.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.95. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Postal Realty Trust has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 158.73. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Postal Realty to cross-verify your projections.Postal Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Postal Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Postal Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Postal Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Postal Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | 0.19 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.85 | (1.87) | 7.34 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.22 | 2.36 | (1.76) | 8.01 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | 0.19 | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.06 | 2.03 | (1.87) | 5.49 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.46) | 5 per month | 1.00 | (0.01) | 2.17 | (1.72) | 6.81 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | (0.13) | 4 per month | 1.54 | (0.01) | 3.16 | (2.97) | 7.04 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.01 | (5.50) | 17.41 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.06 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 12.25 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 2.31 | (1.98) | 7.41 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | (0.13) | 7 per month | 1.33 | 0.05 | 2.29 | (2.47) | 8.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Postal Realty
For every potential investor in Postal, whether a beginner or expert, Postal Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Postal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Postal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Postal Realty's price trends.Postal Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Postal Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Postal Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Postal Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Postal Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Postal Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Postal Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Postal Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Postal Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Postal Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Postal Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Postal Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting postal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8403 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.619 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Variance | 1.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3832 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Postal Realty
The number of cover stories for Postal Realty depends on current market conditions and Postal Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Postal Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Postal Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Postal Realty Short Properties
Postal Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Postal Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Postal Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Postal Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Postal Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Postal Realty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Postal Realty. If investors know Postal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Postal Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.241 | Dividend Share 0.97 | Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.237 |
The market value of Postal Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Postal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Postal Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Postal Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Postal Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Postal Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Postal Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Postal Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Postal Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.