P10 Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PX Stock | USD 10.60 0.37 3.37% |
P10 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of P10's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling P10, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.746 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2437 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9026 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.092 | Wall Street Target Price 15.875 |
Using P10 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of P10 Inc from the perspective of P10 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards P10 using P10's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards P10 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of P10's stock price.
P10 Short Interest
An investor who is long P10 may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about P10 and may potentially protect profits, hedge P10 with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.4486 | Short Percent 0.0467 | Short Ratio 9.47 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 11.039 |
P10 Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of P10 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.P10 Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to P10's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in P10. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding P10 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around P10 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of P10's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about P10.
P10 Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
P10's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of P10 Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if P10's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that P10 stock will not fluctuate a lot when P10's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of P10 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25. P10 after-hype prediction price | USD 10.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of P10 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current P10 contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that P10 Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With P10 trading at USD 10.6, that is roughly USD 0.007288 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating P10's daily price movement you should consider acquiring P10 Inc options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 P10 Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast P10's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in P10's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for P10 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current P10's open interest, investors have to compare it to P10's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of P10 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in P10. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
P10 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine P10 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for P10 using various technical indicators. When you analyze P10 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
P10 Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of P10 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict P10 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that P10's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
P10 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest P10 | P10 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
P10 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting P10's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. P10's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.37 and 12.83, respectively. We have considered P10's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of P10 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent P10 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3987 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0121 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1874 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0187 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.245 |
Predictive Modules for P10
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as P10 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of P10's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
P10 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of P10 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in P10 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of P10, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
P10 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting P10's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on P10's historical news coverage. P10's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.39 and 12.81, respectively. We have considered P10's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
P10 is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of P10 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
P10 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as P10 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading P10 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with P10, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.23 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 19 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.60 | 10.60 | 0.00 |
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P10 Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 P10 Inc is listed for 10.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. P10 is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 33.33%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on P10 is about 1973.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.61. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of P10 was at this time reported as 3.14. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.21. P10 Inc last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 7:10 split on the 21st of October 2021. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of P10 to cross-verify your projections.P10 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to P10's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict P10's future price movements. Getting to know how P10's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how P10 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (1.47) | 6.99 | |
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | (0.21) | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.13 | 2.20 | (2.02) | 6.18 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.77 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.13 | 11 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 4.67 | (2.76) | 11.08 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | 0.32 | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.15 | 2.45 | (1.55) | 6.36 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | 1.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.94 | (3.38) | 8.72 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.41 | (1.72) | 7.07 | |
| TRINI | Trinity Capital 7875 | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.09 | (0.19) | 0.40 | (0.28) | 1.32 | |
| TRINZ | Trinity Capital 7875 | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.28 | (0.16) | 1.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for P10
For every potential investor in P10, whether a beginner or expert, P10's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. P10 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in P10. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying P10's price trends.P10 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with P10 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of P10 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing P10 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
P10 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how P10 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading P10 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying P10 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify P10 Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29937.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.40) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.16 |
P10 Risk Indicators
The analysis of P10's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in P10's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting p10 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Variance | 5.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for P10
The number of cover stories for P10 depends on current market conditions and P10's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that P10 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about P10's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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P10 Short Properties
P10's future price predictability will typically decrease when P10's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of P10 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential P10's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. P10's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.5 M |
Additional Tools for P10 Stock Analysis
When running P10's price analysis, check to measure P10's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy P10 is operating at the current time. Most of P10's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of P10's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move P10's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of P10 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.