RaySearch Laboratories Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RAY-B Stock | SEK 185.40 17.00 10.10% |
RaySearch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of RaySearch Laboratories' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RaySearch Laboratories hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RaySearch Laboratories AB from the perspective of RaySearch Laboratories response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RaySearch Laboratories AB on the next trading day is expected to be 184.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.98. RaySearch Laboratories after-hype prediction price | SEK 185.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RaySearch |
RaySearch Laboratories Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RaySearch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RaySearch using various technical indicators. When you analyze RaySearch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RaySearch Laboratories Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RaySearch Laboratories AB on the next trading day is expected to be 184.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.36, mean absolute percentage error of 20.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 204.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RaySearch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RaySearch Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RaySearch Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RaySearch Laboratories | RaySearch Laboratories Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
RaySearch Laboratories Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RaySearch Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RaySearch Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 182.69 and 187.30, respectively. We have considered RaySearch Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RaySearch Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RaySearch Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.1192 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.8204 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3604 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0162 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 204.9823 |
Predictive Modules for RaySearch Laboratories
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RaySearch Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RaySearch Laboratories After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RaySearch Laboratories at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RaySearch Laboratories or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RaySearch Laboratories, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RaySearch Laboratories Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RaySearch Laboratories' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RaySearch Laboratories' historical news coverage. RaySearch Laboratories' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 183.10 and 187.70, respectively. We have considered RaySearch Laboratories' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RaySearch Laboratories is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RaySearch Laboratories is based on 3 months time horizon.
RaySearch Laboratories Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RaySearch Laboratories is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RaySearch Laboratories backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RaySearch Laboratories, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
185.40 | 185.40 | 0.00 |
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RaySearch Laboratories Hype Timeline
RaySearch Laboratories is at this time traded for 185.40on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RaySearch is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on RaySearch Laboratories is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 185.40. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of RaySearch Laboratories was at this time reported as 18.81. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.03. RaySearch Laboratories last dividend was issued on the 18th of May 2016. The entity had 3:1 split on the 25th of June 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RaySearch Laboratories to cross-verify your projections.RaySearch Laboratories Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RaySearch Laboratories' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RaySearch Laboratories' future price movements. Getting to know how RaySearch Laboratories' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RaySearch Laboratories may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ARJO-B | Arjo AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.16 | (2.10) | 13.25 | |
| SUS | Surgical Science Sweden | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.85 | (4.85) | 63.54 | |
| SYNSAM | Synsam AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.06 | (3.38) | 9.96 | |
| BIOG-B | BioGaia AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.02 | 3.12 | (3.03) | 12.23 | |
| SECARE | Swedencare publ AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.87 | (3.60) | 35.48 | |
| XVIVO | Xvivo Perfusion AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | 0.02 | 6.57 | (4.39) | 16.33 | |
| CEVI | CellaVision AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.82 | (2.91) | 17.56 | |
| AMBEA | Ambea AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.43 | (2.90) | 14.91 | |
| CARA | Carasent ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.38 | (2.95) | 7.52 | |
| ATT | Attendo AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.15 | 2.58 | (1.38) | 14.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for RaySearch Laboratories
For every potential investor in RaySearch, whether a beginner or expert, RaySearch Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RaySearch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RaySearch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RaySearch Laboratories' price trends.RaySearch Laboratories Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RaySearch Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RaySearch Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RaySearch Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RaySearch Laboratories Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RaySearch Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RaySearch Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RaySearch Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RaySearch Laboratories AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 83628.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8854 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.1 | |||
| Day Median Price | 178.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 180.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 15.9 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 17.0 |
RaySearch Laboratories Risk Indicators
The analysis of RaySearch Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RaySearch Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting raysearch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.71 | |||
| Variance | 13.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RaySearch Laboratories
The number of cover stories for RaySearch Laboratories depends on current market conditions and RaySearch Laboratories' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RaySearch Laboratories is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RaySearch Laboratories' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RaySearch Laboratories Short Properties
RaySearch Laboratories' future price predictability will typically decrease when RaySearch Laboratories' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RaySearch Laboratories AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RaySearch Laboratories' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RaySearch Laboratories' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 102.5 M |
Additional Tools for RaySearch Stock Analysis
When running RaySearch Laboratories' price analysis, check to measure RaySearch Laboratories' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RaySearch Laboratories is operating at the current time. Most of RaySearch Laboratories' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RaySearch Laboratories' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RaySearch Laboratories' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RaySearch Laboratories to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.