RaySearch Laboratories Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

RAY-B Stock  SEK 206.00  0.50  0.24%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RaySearch Laboratories AB on the next trading day is expected to be 188.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 672.74. RaySearch Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through RaySearch Laboratories price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

RaySearch Laboratories Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of RaySearch Laboratories AB on the next trading day is expected to be 188.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.03, mean absolute percentage error of 151.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 672.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RaySearch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RaySearch Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RaySearch Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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RaySearch Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RaySearch Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RaySearch Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 185.58 and 191.50, respectively. We have considered RaySearch Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
206.00
185.58
Downside
188.54
Expected Value
191.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RaySearch Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RaySearch Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1307
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation11.0286
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0655
SAESum of the absolute errors672.7443
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as RaySearch Laboratories AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for RaySearch Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RaySearch Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
203.04206.00208.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
185.40236.90239.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
199.31204.38209.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RaySearch Laboratories. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RaySearch Laboratories' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RaySearch Laboratories' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RaySearch Laboratories.

Other Forecasting Options for RaySearch Laboratories

For every potential investor in RaySearch, whether a beginner or expert, RaySearch Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RaySearch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RaySearch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RaySearch Laboratories' price trends.

RaySearch Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RaySearch Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RaySearch Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RaySearch Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RaySearch Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RaySearch Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RaySearch Laboratories' current price.

RaySearch Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RaySearch Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RaySearch Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RaySearch Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RaySearch Laboratories AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RaySearch Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of RaySearch Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RaySearch Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting raysearch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for RaySearch Stock Analysis

When running RaySearch Laboratories' price analysis, check to measure RaySearch Laboratories' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RaySearch Laboratories is operating at the current time. Most of RaySearch Laboratories' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RaySearch Laboratories' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RaySearch Laboratories' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RaySearch Laboratories to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.