Small Cap Stock Forward View
| RCC Stock | USD 24.92 0.03 0.12% |
Small Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Small Cap stock prices and determine the direction of Small Cap Premium's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Small Cap's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Small Cap's stock price is about 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Small, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Small Cap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Small Cap Premium from the perspective of Small Cap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Small Cap Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08. Small Cap after-hype prediction price | USD 24.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Small Cap to cross-verify your projections. Small Cap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Small price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Small using various technical indicators. When you analyze Small charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Small Cap Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Small Cap's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-09-30 | Previous Quarter 162.9 M | Current Value 147.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 79.1 M |
Small Cap Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Small Cap Premium on the next trading day is expected to be 24.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Small Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Small Cap's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Small Cap Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Small Cap | Small Cap Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Small Cap Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Small Cap's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Small Cap's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.76 and 25.07, respectively. We have considered Small Cap's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Small Cap stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Small Cap stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.596 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0177 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 7.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0819 |
Predictive Modules for Small Cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Small Cap Premium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Small Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Small Cap After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Small Cap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Small Cap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Small Cap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Small Cap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Small Cap's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Small Cap's historical news coverage. Small Cap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.79 and 25.11, respectively. We have considered Small Cap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Small Cap is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Small Cap Premium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Small Cap Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Small Cap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Small Cap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Small Cap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.92 | 24.95 | 0.00 |
|
Small Cap Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Small Cap Premium is traded for 24.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Small is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Small Cap is about 1000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.92. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Small Cap to cross-verify your projections.Small Cap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Small Cap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Small Cap's future price movements. Getting to know how Small Cap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Small Cap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAND | Gladstone Land | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.09 | 0.11 | 2.60 | (1.75) | 8.31 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.52 | 0.16 | 3.31 | (1.90) | 9.42 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.13 | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.06) | 10 per month | 1.66 | (0) | 2.31 | (1.98) | 7.41 | |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.42 | (3.72) | 9.05 | |
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.05 | 1.54 | (1.65) | 6.00 | |
| WSR | Whitestone REIT | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.11 | 1.91 | (1.72) | 10.71 | |
| NHPAP | National Healthcare Properties | (0.07) | 5 per month | 0.40 | 0.15 | 1.03 | (1.07) | 4.13 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.60 | (0.03) | 2.66 | (2.77) | 6.97 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.61 | 0.19 | 2.33 | (1.54) | 4.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Small Cap
For every potential investor in Small, whether a beginner or expert, Small Cap's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Small Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Small. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Small Cap's price trends.Small Cap Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Small Cap stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Small Cap could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Small Cap by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Small Cap Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Small Cap stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Small Cap shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Small Cap stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Small Cap Premium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.91 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.48 |
Small Cap Risk Indicators
The analysis of Small Cap's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Small Cap's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting small stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1298 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1967 | |||
| Variance | 0.0387 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0418 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.02) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Small Cap
The number of cover stories for Small Cap depends on current market conditions and Small Cap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Small Cap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Small Cap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Small Cap Short Properties
Small Cap's future price predictability will typically decrease when Small Cap's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Small Cap Premium often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Small Cap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Small Cap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 170.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 206.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 143.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Small Cap to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Small diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Small Cap. Anticipated expansion of Small directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Small Cap data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Small Cap Premium requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Small's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Small Cap's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Small Cap's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Small Cap's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Small Cap should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Small Cap's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.